The closely matched market-implied odds between a low of 24°C or below and a high of 34°C or higher highlight substantial uncertainty in ensemble forecast guidance for Chongqing’s minimum temperature on September 9. Short-range models show wide spreads driven by variable steering patterns in the East Asian monsoon trough and potential interactions with late-season tropical moisture or weak frontal systems moving through the Sichuan Basin. Local factors such as urban heat island effects, basin topography that can trap heat or promote nocturnal inversions, and recent soil moisture levels further amplify divergence between cooler, rain-cooled scenarios and warmer, clearer conditions. New runs from global and regional models over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Chongqing el 9 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Chongqing el 9 de septiembre?
24°C o menos 99%
34°C o más 98%
29°C 50%
25°C 49%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 sep 2026
24°C o menos
99%
25°C
49%
26°C
49%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C
50%
30°C
49%
31°C
49%
32°C
48%
33°C
49%
34°C o más
98%
24°C o menos 99%
34°C o más 98%
29°C 50%
25°C 49%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 sep 2026
24°C o menos
$0 Vol.
99%
25°C
$0 Vol.
49%
26°C
$0 Vol.
49%
27°C
$0 Vol.
49%
28°C
$0 Vol.
49%
29°C
$0 Vol.
50%
30°C
$0 Vol.
49%
31°C
$0 Vol.
49%
32°C
$0 Vol.
48%
33°C
$0 Vol.
49%
34°C o más
$0 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched market-implied odds between a low of 24°C or below and a high of 34°C or higher highlight substantial uncertainty in ensemble forecast guidance for Chongqing’s minimum temperature on September 9. Short-range models show wide spreads driven by variable steering patterns in the East Asian monsoon trough and potential interactions with late-season tropical moisture or weak frontal systems moving through the Sichuan Basin. Local factors such as urban heat island effects, basin topography that can trap heat or promote nocturnal inversions, and recent soil moisture levels further amplify divergence between cooler, rain-cooled scenarios and warmer, clearer conditions. New runs from global and regional models over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
9 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched market-implied odds between a low of 24°C or below and a high of 34°C or higher highlight substantial uncertainty in ensemble forecast guidance for Chongqing’s minimum temperature on September 9. Short-range models show wide spreads driven by variable steering patterns in the East Asian monsoon trough and potential interactions with late-season tropical moisture or weak frontal systems moving through the Sichuan Basin. Local factors such as urban heat island effects, basin topography that can trap heat or promote nocturnal inversions, and recent soil moisture levels further amplify divergence between cooler, rain-cooled scenarios and warmer, clearer conditions. New runs from global and regional models over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
9 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched market-implied odds between a low of 24°C or below and a high of 34°C or higher highlight substantial uncertainty in ensemble forecast guidance for Chongqing’s minimum temperature on September 9. Short-range models show wide spreads driven by variable steering patterns in the East Asian monsoon trough and potential interactions with late-season tropical moisture or weak frontal systems moving through the Sichuan Basin. Local factors such as urban heat island effects, basin topography that can trap heat or promote nocturnal inversions, and recent soil moisture levels further amplify divergence between cooler, rain-cooled scenarios and warmer, clearer conditions. New runs from global and regional models over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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