Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Shanghai's August 25 minimum will likely settle near 26–27°C amid persistent subtropical conditions, with southeast winds and high humidity limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. Model consensus points to partly cloudy skies and light rain chances that suppress sharp temperature drops, consistent with August climatology where typical overnight lows range 24–26°C. Trader emphasis on the 27°C outcome aligns with this guidance, while lower probabilities for 25°C or below reflect limited cooling potential without stronger frontal activity or clearer, drier air. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these values ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 25 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 25 de agosto?
27°C 43%
26°C 18%
28°C 16%
24°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 ago 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
5%
24°C
10%
25°C
10%
26°C
18%
27°C
43%
28°C
16%
29°C
10%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 43%
26°C 18%
28°C 16%
24°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 ago 2026
22°C or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$10 Vol.
5%
24°C
$10 Vol.
10%
25°C
$5 Vol.
10%
26°C
$465 Vol.
18%
27°C
$14 Vol.
43%
28°C
$7 Vol.
16%
29°C
$10 Vol.
10%
30°C
$5 Vol.
1%
31°C
$5 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Shanghai's August 25 minimum will likely settle near 26–27°C amid persistent subtropical conditions, with southeast winds and high humidity limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. Model consensus points to partly cloudy skies and light rain chances that suppress sharp temperature drops, consistent with August climatology where typical overnight lows range 24–26°C. Trader emphasis on the 27°C outcome aligns with this guidance, while lower probabilities for 25°C or below reflect limited cooling potential without stronger frontal activity or clearer, drier air. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these values ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$541Fecha de finalización
25 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Shanghai's August 25 minimum will likely settle near 26–27°C amid persistent subtropical conditions, with southeast winds and high humidity limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. Model consensus points to partly cloudy skies and light rain chances that suppress sharp temperature drops, consistent with August climatology where typical overnight lows range 24–26°C. Trader emphasis on the 27°C outcome aligns with this guidance, while lower probabilities for 25°C or below reflect limited cooling potential without stronger frontal activity or clearer, drier air. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these values ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$541Fecha de finalización
25 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Shanghai's August 25 minimum will likely settle near 26–27°C amid persistent subtropical conditions, with southeast winds and high humidity limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. Model consensus points to partly cloudy skies and light rain chances that suppress sharp temperature drops, consistent with August climatology where typical overnight lows range 24–26°C. Trader emphasis on the 27°C outcome aligns with this guidance, while lower probabilities for 25°C or below reflect limited cooling potential without stronger frontal activity or clearer, drier air. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these values ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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