Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models place Paris overnight minimum temperatures for September 6 in the 12–14 °C range, with 13 °C carrying the highest implied probability at 40.5 %. Clear to partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds overnight promote radiative cooling under high pressure, while modest moisture return from the southeast limits further drops. These conditions sit near the September climatological minimum of roughly 13 °C, producing tight clustering among the 12 °C, 13 °C, and 14 °C outcomes. Traders are watching the final 00–06 UTC model runs and Météo-France guidance, which will refine the exact low before the market resolves on official station data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en París el 6 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en París el 6 de septiembre?
12°C 42%
13°C 36%
14°C 24%
11°C 23%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 sep 2026
10°C o menos
2%
11°C
23%
12°C
35%
13°C
36%
14°C
24%
15°C
23%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
3%
20°C o más
1%
12°C 42%
13°C 36%
14°C 24%
11°C 23%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 sep 2026
10°C o menos
$5 Vol.
2%
11°C
$0 Vol.
23%
12°C
$575 Vol.
35%
13°C
$219 Vol.
36%
14°C
$232 Vol.
24%
15°C
$21 Vol.
23%
16°C
$0 Vol.
2%
17°C
$0 Vol.
2%
18°C
$0 Vol.
2%
19°C
$0 Vol.
3%
20°C o más
$12 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models place Paris overnight minimum temperatures for September 6 in the 12–14 °C range, with 13 °C carrying the highest implied probability at 40.5 %. Clear to partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds overnight promote radiative cooling under high pressure, while modest moisture return from the southeast limits further drops. These conditions sit near the September climatological minimum of roughly 13 °C, producing tight clustering among the 12 °C, 13 °C, and 14 °C outcomes. Traders are watching the final 00–06 UTC model runs and Météo-France guidance, which will refine the exact low before the market resolves on official station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$1,064Fecha de finalización
6 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models place Paris overnight minimum temperatures for September 6 in the 12–14 °C range, with 13 °C carrying the highest implied probability at 40.5 %. Clear to partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds overnight promote radiative cooling under high pressure, while modest moisture return from the southeast limits further drops. These conditions sit near the September climatological minimum of roughly 13 °C, producing tight clustering among the 12 °C, 13 °C, and 14 °C outcomes. Traders are watching the final 00–06 UTC model runs and Météo-France guidance, which will refine the exact low before the market resolves on official station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,064Fecha de finalización
6 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models place Paris overnight minimum temperatures for September 6 in the 12–14 °C range, with 13 °C carrying the highest implied probability at 40.5 %. Clear to partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds overnight promote radiative cooling under high pressure, while modest moisture return from the southeast limits further drops. These conditions sit near the September climatological minimum of roughly 13 °C, producing tight clustering among the 12 °C, 13 °C, and 14 °C outcomes. Traders are watching the final 00–06 UTC model runs and Météo-France guidance, which will refine the exact low before the market resolves on official station data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes