Recent ECMWF and Met Office model consensus points to a Milan minimum temperature near 18–21°C on August 24 under persistent high pressure and light winds that curb nocturnal radiative cooling. Traders have clustered volume around the 17–19°C outcomes because subtle variations in forecast cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, and any weak central-European trough could trim or enhance overnight drops by 1–2°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest for late-summer conditions in the Po Valley, where historical August lows average near 16–18°C; the next high-resolution model cycles will likely tighten probabilities ahead of the 24-hour observation window used for market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Milán el 24 de agosto?
18°C 24%
19°C 22%
17°C 21%
15°C 19%
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
4%
15°C
19%
16°C
19%
17°C
21%
18°C
24%
19°C
22%
20°C
19%
21°C
19%
22°C or higher
3%
18°C 24%
19°C 22%
17°C 21%
15°C 19%
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
4%
15°C
19%
16°C
19%
17°C
21%
18°C
24%
19°C
22%
20°C
19%
21°C
19%
22°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ECMWF and Met Office model consensus points to a Milan minimum temperature near 18–21°C on August 24 under persistent high pressure and light winds that curb nocturnal radiative cooling. Traders have clustered volume around the 17–19°C outcomes because subtle variations in forecast cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, and any weak central-European trough could trim or enhance overnight drops by 1–2°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest for late-summer conditions in the Po Valley, where historical August lows average near 16–18°C; the next high-resolution model cycles will likely tighten probabilities ahead of the 24-hour observation window used for market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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