Traders assign near-certainty to a 15°C minimum in Milan on August 23 because numerical weather prediction models, including those from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Italian meteorological services, converge on overnight radiative cooling under clear, calm high-pressure conditions typical of late-summer Po Valley nights. Historical climatology places average August lows near 16–18°C, and current observational trends show no significant advection of cooler air or increased cloud cover that would alter the diurnal range. The 99% implied probability reflects this strong consensus backed by real-time station data and model agreement. Only an unexpected surge in wind or unforecasted precipitation could realistically push readings to 14°C or below before official minimums are recorded.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Milán el 23 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Milán el 23 de agosto?
15°C 99%
14°C 2%
13°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
$4,747 Vol.
$4,747 Vol.
23 ago 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
99%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
15°C 99%
14°C 2%
13°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
$4,747 Vol.
$4,747 Vol.
23 ago 2026
13°C or below
$342 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$105 Vol.
2%
15°C
$88 Vol.
99%
16°C
$347 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$524 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$237 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$628 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,606 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$210 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$423 Vol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$239 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign near-certainty to a 15°C minimum in Milan on August 23 because numerical weather prediction models, including those from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Italian meteorological services, converge on overnight radiative cooling under clear, calm high-pressure conditions typical of late-summer Po Valley nights. Historical climatology places average August lows near 16–18°C, and current observational trends show no significant advection of cooler air or increased cloud cover that would alter the diurnal range. The 99% implied probability reflects this strong consensus backed by real-time station data and model agreement. Only an unexpected surge in wind or unforecasted precipitation could realistically push readings to 14°C or below before official minimums are recorded.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$4,747Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign near-certainty to a 15°C minimum in Milan on August 23 because numerical weather prediction models, including those from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Italian meteorological services, converge on overnight radiative cooling under clear, calm high-pressure conditions typical of late-summer Po Valley nights. Historical climatology places average August lows near 16–18°C, and current observational trends show no significant advection of cooler air or increased cloud cover that would alter the diurnal range. The 99% implied probability reflects this strong consensus backed by real-time station data and model agreement. Only an unexpected surge in wind or unforecasted precipitation could realistically push readings to 14°C or below before official minimums are recorded.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,747Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign near-certainty to a 15°C minimum in Milan on August 23 because numerical weather prediction models, including those from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Italian meteorological services, converge on overnight radiative cooling under clear, calm high-pressure conditions typical of late-summer Po Valley nights. Historical climatology places average August lows near 16–18°C, and current observational trends show no significant advection of cooler air or increased cloud cover that would alter the diurnal range. The 99% implied probability reflects this strong consensus backed by real-time station data and model agreement. Only an unexpected surge in wind or unforecasted precipitation could realistically push readings to 14°C or below before official minimums are recorded.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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