Forecast models from the Met Office and European sources indicate a minimum temperature near 15°C for London on September 6, 2026, under mild southerly flow, high pressure near 1018-1023 hPa, and increasing overnight cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with observed trends where daytime highs reach 24-26°C before gradual evening decline, consistent with above-average September conditions and limited nocturnal temperature drops. Trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability for 15°C reflects strong agreement across GFS and ECMWF runs on these stable atmospheric patterns. A realistic shift could occur if clearer skies develop late, enhancing surface heat loss and pushing the low toward 14°C, or if unforecasted wind changes alter mixing. Official Met Office verification will resolve the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 6 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 6 de septiembre?
15°C 99.4%
14°C <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 sep 2026
10°C o menos
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
99%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C o más
<1%
15°C 99.4%
14°C <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 sep 2026
10°C o menos
$55 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$65 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$240 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$426 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$2,728 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$2,350 Vol.
99%
16°C
$2,522 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$152 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$65 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$65 Vol.
<1%
20°C o más
$75 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Met Office and European sources indicate a minimum temperature near 15°C for London on September 6, 2026, under mild southerly flow, high pressure near 1018-1023 hPa, and increasing overnight cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with observed trends where daytime highs reach 24-26°C before gradual evening decline, consistent with above-average September conditions and limited nocturnal temperature drops. Trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability for 15°C reflects strong agreement across GFS and ECMWF runs on these stable atmospheric patterns. A realistic shift could occur if clearer skies develop late, enhancing surface heat loss and pushing the low toward 14°C, or if unforecasted wind changes alter mixing. Official Met Office verification will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$8,744Fecha de finalización
6 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Met Office and European sources indicate a minimum temperature near 15°C for London on September 6, 2026, under mild southerly flow, high pressure near 1018-1023 hPa, and increasing overnight cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with observed trends where daytime highs reach 24-26°C before gradual evening decline, consistent with above-average September conditions and limited nocturnal temperature drops. Trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability for 15°C reflects strong agreement across GFS and ECMWF runs on these stable atmospheric patterns. A realistic shift could occur if clearer skies develop late, enhancing surface heat loss and pushing the low toward 14°C, or if unforecasted wind changes alter mixing. Official Met Office verification will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$8,744Fecha de finalización
6 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Met Office and European sources indicate a minimum temperature near 15°C for London on September 6, 2026, under mild southerly flow, high pressure near 1018-1023 hPa, and increasing overnight cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with observed trends where daytime highs reach 24-26°C before gradual evening decline, consistent with above-average September conditions and limited nocturnal temperature drops. Trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability for 15°C reflects strong agreement across GFS and ECMWF runs on these stable atmospheric patterns. A realistic shift could occur if clearer skies develop late, enhancing surface heat loss and pushing the low toward 14°C, or if unforecasted wind changes alter mixing. Official Met Office verification will resolve the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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