Forecast models show substantial uncertainty in the minimum temperature for Helsinki on August 25, driving the near-even market odds between a cool 7°C-or-below scenario and values near 12°C. A northerly flow of Arctic air behind a passing low-pressure system could enhance radiative cooling under clear skies, while increased cloud cover or a milder Atlantic airmass would limit overnight drops. The Baltic Sea’s moderating influence and typical late-August climatology (historical lows around 10–13°C) further narrow the range, but small shifts in wind direction or timing of frontal passage can alter outcomes by several degrees. Traders are weighing the latest ECMWF and GFS runs ahead of the next model update cycle.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Helsinki el 25 de agosto?
14°C 59%
7°C o menos 44%
12°C 44%
17 °C o más 43%
7°C o menos
44%
8°C
15%
9°C
22%
10°C
25%
11°C
27%
12°C
44%
13°C
42%
14°C
59%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17 °C o más
43%
14°C 59%
7°C o menos 44%
12°C 44%
17 °C o más 43%
7°C o menos
44%
8°C
15%
9°C
22%
10°C
25%
11°C
27%
12°C
44%
13°C
42%
14°C
59%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17 °C o más
43%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models show substantial uncertainty in the minimum temperature for Helsinki on August 25, driving the near-even market odds between a cool 7°C-or-below scenario and values near 12°C. A northerly flow of Arctic air behind a passing low-pressure system could enhance radiative cooling under clear skies, while increased cloud cover or a milder Atlantic airmass would limit overnight drops. The Baltic Sea’s moderating influence and typical late-August climatology (historical lows around 10–13°C) further narrow the range, but small shifts in wind direction or timing of frontal passage can alter outcomes by several degrees. Traders are weighing the latest ECMWF and GFS runs ahead of the next model update cycle.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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