Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European models show Helsinki's overnight minimum on August 24 likely ranging 10–13°C amid northwesterly winds and scattered showers, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 8–12°C. Primary uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing: clearer intervals would enhance radiative cooling toward single digits, while persistent low-level clouds or stronger winds limit drops by trapping heat. Northerly advection of cooler maritime air from the Baltic further modulates the outcome, with latest model runs showing modest spread in 2-meter temperatures. Historical August minima near 12°C provide baseline context, but traders weigh incoming 24-hour updates on precipitation timing and wind shear as key resolution factors.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Helsinki el 24 de agosto?
11°C 37%
8°C o menos 36%
12°C 23%
10°C 20%
8°C o menos
36%
9°C
19%
10°C
20%
11°C
29%
12°C
23%
13°C
18%
14°C
18%
15°C
5%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C o más
1%
11°C 37%
8°C o menos 36%
12°C 23%
10°C 20%
8°C o menos
36%
9°C
19%
10°C
20%
11°C
29%
12°C
23%
13°C
18%
14°C
18%
15°C
5%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C o más
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European models show Helsinki's overnight minimum on August 24 likely ranging 10–13°C amid northwesterly winds and scattered showers, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 8–12°C. Primary uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing: clearer intervals would enhance radiative cooling toward single digits, while persistent low-level clouds or stronger winds limit drops by trapping heat. Northerly advection of cooler maritime air from the Baltic further modulates the outcome, with latest model runs showing modest spread in 2-meter temperatures. Historical August minima near 12°C provide baseline context, but traders weigh incoming 24-hour updates on precipitation timing and wind shear as key resolution factors.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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