Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute and European models indicate an overnight low near 12°C for Amsterdam on August 23, driven by moderate northwesterly flow, partial cloud cover, and typical late-summer maritime conditions in the North Sea region. This aligns with climatological baselines showing average August minima of 13–14°C that decline toward month-end, with model consensus narrowing the range tightly around 11–13°C. The 98% market-implied probability for exactly 12°C reflects traders' assessment of these verified outputs and historical analogs. Clearer skies or an unforecasted cold advection could push readings to 10–11°C, while increased cloudiness or warmer advection might hold the low at 13°C or above.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Ámsterdam el 23 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Ámsterdam el 23 de agosto?
12°C 98%
11°C 3%
10°C 1.5%
8°C or below <1%
$5,158 Vol.
$5,158 Vol.
23 ago 2026
8°C or below
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
3%
12°C
98%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C o más
<1%
12°C 98%
11°C 3%
10°C 1.5%
8°C or below <1%
$5,158 Vol.
$5,158 Vol.
23 ago 2026
8°C or below
$372 Vol.
1%
9°C
$382 Vol.
1%
10°C
$816 Vol.
2%
11°C
$393 Vol.
3%
12°C
$542 Vol.
98%
13°C
$397 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$586 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$530 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$449 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$322 Vol.
<1%
18°C o más
$367 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute and European models indicate an overnight low near 12°C for Amsterdam on August 23, driven by moderate northwesterly flow, partial cloud cover, and typical late-summer maritime conditions in the North Sea region. This aligns with climatological baselines showing average August minima of 13–14°C that decline toward month-end, with model consensus narrowing the range tightly around 11–13°C. The 98% market-implied probability for exactly 12°C reflects traders' assessment of these verified outputs and historical analogs. Clearer skies or an unforecasted cold advection could push readings to 10–11°C, while increased cloudiness or warmer advection might hold the low at 13°C or above.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$5,158Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute and European models indicate an overnight low near 12°C for Amsterdam on August 23, driven by moderate northwesterly flow, partial cloud cover, and typical late-summer maritime conditions in the North Sea region. This aligns with climatological baselines showing average August minima of 13–14°C that decline toward month-end, with model consensus narrowing the range tightly around 11–13°C. The 98% market-implied probability for exactly 12°C reflects traders' assessment of these verified outputs and historical analogs. Clearer skies or an unforecasted cold advection could push readings to 10–11°C, while increased cloudiness or warmer advection might hold the low at 13°C or above.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,158Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute and European models indicate an overnight low near 12°C for Amsterdam on August 23, driven by moderate northwesterly flow, partial cloud cover, and typical late-summer maritime conditions in the North Sea region. This aligns with climatological baselines showing average August minima of 13–14°C that decline toward month-end, with model consensus narrowing the range tightly around 11–13°C. The 98% market-implied probability for exactly 12°C reflects traders' assessment of these verified outputs and historical analogs. Clearer skies or an unforecasted cold advection could push readings to 10–11°C, while increased cloudiness or warmer advection might hold the low at 13°C or above.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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