Kentucky's 2nd congressional district features a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+20 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent historical results. Incumbent Brett Guthrie secured renomination with 85 percent in the May primary, while Democrat Megan Wingfield advanced with a plurality. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for the Republican nominee aligns with the district's partisan composition, Guthrie's long tenure since 2009, and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals for the Democratic challenger. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include a late personal or ethical controversy affecting the incumbent, an unanticipated national political shift, or exceptionally high Democratic turnout in the Louisville metro portion of the district.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoKY-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
KY-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$11,985 Vol.
$11,985 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
95%
Partido Demócrata
6%
$11,985 Vol.
$11,985 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$6,022 Vol.
95%
Partido Demócrata
$5,963 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky's 2nd congressional district features a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+20 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent historical results. Incumbent Brett Guthrie secured renomination with 85 percent in the May primary, while Democrat Megan Wingfield advanced with a plurality. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for the Republican nominee aligns with the district's partisan composition, Guthrie's long tenure since 2009, and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals for the Democratic challenger. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include a late personal or ethical controversy affecting the incumbent, an unanticipated national political shift, or exceptionally high Democratic turnout in the Louisville metro portion of the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$11,985Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky's 2nd congressional district features a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+20 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent historical results. Incumbent Brett Guthrie secured renomination with 85 percent in the May primary, while Democrat Megan Wingfield advanced with a plurality. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for the Republican nominee aligns with the district's partisan composition, Guthrie's long tenure since 2009, and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals for the Democratic challenger. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include a late personal or ethical controversy affecting the incumbent, an unanticipated national political shift, or exceptionally high Democratic turnout in the Louisville metro portion of the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$11,985Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kentucky's 2nd congressional district features a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+20 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent historical results. Incumbent Brett Guthrie secured renomination with 85 percent in the May primary, while Democrat Megan Wingfield advanced with a plurality. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for the Republican nominee aligns with the district's partisan composition, Guthrie's long tenure since 2009, and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals for the Democratic challenger. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include a late personal or ethical controversy affecting the incumbent, an unanticipated national political shift, or exceptionally high Democratic turnout in the Louisville metro portion of the district.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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