Forecast models from multiple sources project afternoon highs of 32–34°C in Zhengzhou on August 25 under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and moderate humidity near 70–80%, driven by warm air advection ahead of a weak trough. This consensus aligns with the market's leading 49% implied probability for 32°C or higher and 28% for exactly 31°C, as historical late-August climatology favors peaks near 32°C absent strong cooling influences. Scattered showers (30–65% chance) may limit extreme heating but are unlikely to drop maxima below 31°C according to current runs. Traders appear to weigh model agreement and typical diurnal warming patterns, with resolution hinging on official China Meteorological Administration observations tomorrow.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Zhengzhou el 25 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Zhengzhou el 25 de agosto?
32°C or higher 98%
31°C 56%
25°C 8%
30°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 ago 2026
22°C or below
3%
23°C
3%
24°C
3%
25°C
8%
26°C
3%
27°C
3%
28°C
3%
29°C
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
56%
32°C or higher
98%
32°C or higher 98%
31°C 56%
25°C 8%
30°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 ago 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
3%
23°C
$0 Vol.
3%
24°C
$0 Vol.
3%
25°C
$0 Vol.
8%
26°C
$0 Vol.
3%
27°C
$0 Vol.
3%
28°C
$0 Vol.
3%
29°C
$0 Vol.
3%
30°C
$0 Vol.
4%
31°C
$0 Vol.
56%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources project afternoon highs of 32–34°C in Zhengzhou on August 25 under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and moderate humidity near 70–80%, driven by warm air advection ahead of a weak trough. This consensus aligns with the market's leading 49% implied probability for 32°C or higher and 28% for exactly 31°C, as historical late-August climatology favors peaks near 32°C absent strong cooling influences. Scattered showers (30–65% chance) may limit extreme heating but are unlikely to drop maxima below 31°C according to current runs. Traders appear to weigh model agreement and typical diurnal warming patterns, with resolution hinging on official China Meteorological Administration observations tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
25 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources project afternoon highs of 32–34°C in Zhengzhou on August 25 under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and moderate humidity near 70–80%, driven by warm air advection ahead of a weak trough. This consensus aligns with the market's leading 49% implied probability for 32°C or higher and 28% for exactly 31°C, as historical late-August climatology favors peaks near 32°C absent strong cooling influences. Scattered showers (30–65% chance) may limit extreme heating but are unlikely to drop maxima below 31°C according to current runs. Traders appear to weigh model agreement and typical diurnal warming patterns, with resolution hinging on official China Meteorological Administration observations tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
25 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from multiple sources project afternoon highs of 32–34°C in Zhengzhou on August 25 under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and moderate humidity near 70–80%, driven by warm air advection ahead of a weak trough. This consensus aligns with the market's leading 49% implied probability for 32°C or higher and 28% for exactly 31°C, as historical late-August climatology favors peaks near 32°C absent strong cooling influences. Scattered showers (30–65% chance) may limit extreme heating but are unlikely to drop maxima below 31°C according to current runs. Traders appear to weigh model agreement and typical diurnal warming patterns, with resolution hinging on official China Meteorological Administration observations tomorrow.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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