Recent forecast model consensus from sources including NOAA-aligned and regional meteorological updates positions the highest temperature in Wuhan on September 2 near 28–30°C, driven by a post-heatwave cooling trend from late-August frontal systems and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Northerly winds and modest humidity around 55–65% further moderate peak values, with historical September averages near 29°C providing climatological context. Trader-implied odds favoring 30°C (38%) and 29°C (23%) align closely with this guidance, while lower probabilities on extremes reflect low likelihood of significant model shifts before resolution. Updated runs and any overnight observations could refine the exact maximum within the next 48 hours.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Wuhan el 2 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Wuhan el 2 de septiembre?
30°C 38%
29°C 23%
31°C 22%
28°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 sep 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
10%
29°C
23%
30°C
38%
31°C
22%
32°C
8%
33°C or higher
1%
30°C 38%
29°C 23%
31°C 22%
28°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 sep 2026
23°C or below
$336 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$332 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$708 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$245 Vol.
2%
27°C
$40 Vol.
4%
28°C
$117 Vol.
10%
29°C
$1,220 Vol.
23%
30°C
$301 Vol.
38%
31°C
$315 Vol.
22%
32°C
$99 Vol.
8%
33°C or higher
$26 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including NOAA-aligned and regional meteorological updates positions the highest temperature in Wuhan on September 2 near 28–30°C, driven by a post-heatwave cooling trend from late-August frontal systems and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Northerly winds and modest humidity around 55–65% further moderate peak values, with historical September averages near 29°C providing climatological context. Trader-implied odds favoring 30°C (38%) and 29°C (23%) align closely with this guidance, while lower probabilities on extremes reflect low likelihood of significant model shifts before resolution. Updated runs and any overnight observations could refine the exact maximum within the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$3,739Fecha de finalización
2 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including NOAA-aligned and regional meteorological updates positions the highest temperature in Wuhan on September 2 near 28–30°C, driven by a post-heatwave cooling trend from late-August frontal systems and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Northerly winds and modest humidity around 55–65% further moderate peak values, with historical September averages near 29°C providing climatological context. Trader-implied odds favoring 30°C (38%) and 29°C (23%) align closely with this guidance, while lower probabilities on extremes reflect low likelihood of significant model shifts before resolution. Updated runs and any overnight observations could refine the exact maximum within the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,739Fecha de finalización
2 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including NOAA-aligned and regional meteorological updates positions the highest temperature in Wuhan on September 2 near 28–30°C, driven by a post-heatwave cooling trend from late-August frontal systems and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Northerly winds and modest humidity around 55–65% further moderate peak values, with historical September averages near 29°C providing climatological context. Trader-implied odds favoring 30°C (38%) and 29°C (23%) align closely with this guidance, while lower probabilities on extremes reflect low likelihood of significant model shifts before resolution. Updated runs and any overnight observations could refine the exact maximum within the next 48 hours.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes