**Current forecasts from Turkish meteorological services and international models show sunny conditions with moderate northeast winds over Istanbul on September 5, suppressing strong daytime heating and supporting a daily maximum near 27°C.** This aligns with the market's dominant 75.5% implied probability for 27°C, as light winds and clear skies favor modest warming above seasonal September averages of roughly 25–26°C. Recent model runs indicate limited moisture and stable high pressure, reducing the likelihood of exceeding 28°C (17.5% odds) or dropping to 26°C (6.5%). Hourly temperature observations throughout the afternoon will refine the final official reading, with any late-day shifts in wind or cloud cover representing the main variables that could adjust the outcome before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Estambul el 5 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Estambul el 5 de septiembre?
27°C 76%
28°C 18%
26°C 7%
29°C <1%
$10,027 Vol.
$10,027 Vol.
5 sep 2026
22°C o menos
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
7%
27°C
76%
28°C
18%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C o más
<1%
27°C 76%
28°C 18%
26°C 7%
29°C <1%
$10,027 Vol.
$10,027 Vol.
5 sep 2026
22°C o menos
$862 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$515 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$305 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$930 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,487 Vol.
7%
27°C
$2,345 Vol.
76%
28°C
$693 Vol.
18%
29°C
$600 Vol.
1%
30°C
$424 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$455 Vol.
<1%
32°C o más
$411 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from Turkish meteorological services and international models show sunny conditions with moderate northeast winds over Istanbul on September 5, suppressing strong daytime heating and supporting a daily maximum near 27°C.** This aligns with the market's dominant 75.5% implied probability for 27°C, as light winds and clear skies favor modest warming above seasonal September averages of roughly 25–26°C. Recent model runs indicate limited moisture and stable high pressure, reducing the likelihood of exceeding 28°C (17.5% odds) or dropping to 26°C (6.5%). Hourly temperature observations throughout the afternoon will refine the final official reading, with any late-day shifts in wind or cloud cover representing the main variables that could adjust the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$10,027Fecha de finalización
5 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from Turkish meteorological services and international models show sunny conditions with moderate northeast winds over Istanbul on September 5, suppressing strong daytime heating and supporting a daily maximum near 27°C.** This aligns with the market's dominant 75.5% implied probability for 27°C, as light winds and clear skies favor modest warming above seasonal September averages of roughly 25–26°C. Recent model runs indicate limited moisture and stable high pressure, reducing the likelihood of exceeding 28°C (17.5% odds) or dropping to 26°C (6.5%). Hourly temperature observations throughout the afternoon will refine the final official reading, with any late-day shifts in wind or cloud cover representing the main variables that could adjust the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$10,027Fecha de finalización
5 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from Turkish meteorological services and international models show sunny conditions with moderate northeast winds over Istanbul on September 5, suppressing strong daytime heating and supporting a daily maximum near 27°C.** This aligns with the market's dominant 75.5% implied probability for 27°C, as light winds and clear skies favor modest warming above seasonal September averages of roughly 25–26°C. Recent model runs indicate limited moisture and stable high pressure, reducing the likelihood of exceeding 28°C (17.5% odds) or dropping to 26°C (6.5%). Hourly temperature observations throughout the afternoon will refine the final official reading, with any late-day shifts in wind or cloud cover representing the main variables that could adjust the outcome before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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