Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the Met Office and local meteorological services indicate sunny conditions and highs of 29–32°C for Istanbul on September 6, aligning with trader emphasis on the 28–30°C outcomes that together exceed 80% implied probability. Light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover support modest warming above the September climatological average of 23–27°C, though model spread and potential for slightly stronger onshore flow introduce uncertainty around the exact peak. Official resolution will depend on the highest hourly reading at the primary reporting station, with any late-day cooling or measurement timing shifts able to tip the result between adjacent thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Estambul el 6 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Estambul el 6 de septiembre?
29°C 35%
30°C 24%
28°C 20%
27°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 sep 2026
25°C o menos
3%
26°C
4%
27°C
7%
28°C
20%
29°C
35%
30°C
24%
31°C
6%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C o más
1%
29°C 35%
30°C 24%
28°C 20%
27°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 sep 2026
25°C o menos
$50 Vol.
3%
26°C
$117 Vol.
4%
27°C
$50 Vol.
7%
28°C
$460 Vol.
20%
29°C
$202 Vol.
35%
30°C
$288 Vol.
24%
31°C
$382 Vol.
6%
32°C
$42 Vol.
4%
33°C
$151 Vol.
1%
34°C
$83 Vol.
1%
35°C o más
$83 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the Met Office and local meteorological services indicate sunny conditions and highs of 29–32°C for Istanbul on September 6, aligning with trader emphasis on the 28–30°C outcomes that together exceed 80% implied probability. Light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover support modest warming above the September climatological average of 23–27°C, though model spread and potential for slightly stronger onshore flow introduce uncertainty around the exact peak. Official resolution will depend on the highest hourly reading at the primary reporting station, with any late-day cooling or measurement timing shifts able to tip the result between adjacent thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$1,908Fecha de finalización
6 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the Met Office and local meteorological services indicate sunny conditions and highs of 29–32°C for Istanbul on September 6, aligning with trader emphasis on the 28–30°C outcomes that together exceed 80% implied probability. Light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover support modest warming above the September climatological average of 23–27°C, though model spread and potential for slightly stronger onshore flow introduce uncertainty around the exact peak. Official resolution will depend on the highest hourly reading at the primary reporting station, with any late-day cooling or measurement timing shifts able to tip the result between adjacent thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,908Fecha de finalización
6 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the Met Office and local meteorological services indicate sunny conditions and highs of 29–32°C for Istanbul on September 6, aligning with trader emphasis on the 28–30°C outcomes that together exceed 80% implied probability. Light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover support modest warming above the September climatological average of 23–27°C, though model spread and potential for slightly stronger onshore flow introduce uncertainty around the exact peak. Official resolution will depend on the highest hourly reading at the primary reporting station, with any late-day cooling or measurement timing shifts able to tip the result between adjacent thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes