Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS runs points to a daytime high of 21–22 °C in Amsterdam on August 24 under easterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and minimal precipitation risk, aligning closely with the market’s leading 21 °C (46 %) and 22 °C (37.5 %) outcomes. Traders weigh the balance between clear periods that could allow modest solar heating toward 22–23 °C against persistent cloud or slightly stronger northeasterly winds that would cap the peak nearer 20–21 °C. Historical climatology shows an average high of 21.6 °C for the date, providing a baseline against which current stable high-pressure conditions and low model spread are evaluated; any late adjustments in boundary-layer moisture or insolation would likely shift the final observed maximum by 1 °C at most.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Ámsterdam el 24 de agosto?
21°C 46%
22°C 38%
20°C 10%
23°C 7%
17°C o menos
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
10%
21°C
46%
22°C
38%
23°C
7%
24°C
3%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C o más
<1%
21°C 46%
22°C 38%
20°C 10%
23°C 7%
17°C o menos
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
10%
21°C
46%
22°C
38%
23°C
7%
24°C
3%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS runs points to a daytime high of 21–22 °C in Amsterdam on August 24 under easterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and minimal precipitation risk, aligning closely with the market’s leading 21 °C (46 %) and 22 °C (37.5 %) outcomes. Traders weigh the balance between clear periods that could allow modest solar heating toward 22–23 °C against persistent cloud or slightly stronger northeasterly winds that would cap the peak nearer 20–21 °C. Historical climatology shows an average high of 21.6 °C for the date, providing a baseline against which current stable high-pressure conditions and low model spread are evaluated; any late adjustments in boundary-layer moisture or insolation would likely shift the final observed maximum by 1 °C at most.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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