Florida's newly redrawn 25th congressional district, effective for the 2026 cycle following April legislative action, stretches along the South Florida coast through parts of Miami-Dade, Broward, and Palm Beach counties and features demographics that have positioned the Democratic nominee as the clear frontrunner. Incumbent Jared Moskowitz, who shifted from the 23rd district, holds a substantial lead in the August 18 Democratic primary over challenger Oliver Larkin according to recent polling, while multiple Republicans compete in their concurrent primary. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 73% implied probability in the November 3 general election, reflecting the district's partisan lean, Moskowitz's established profile, and historical patterns for similar seats, though the Republican primary outcome and general-election turnout dynamics could still influence the final result.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes FL-25
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes FL-25
$22,019 Vol.
$22,019 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
75%
Partido Republicano
25%
$22,019 Vol.
$22,019 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$6,606 Vol.
75%
Partido Republicano
$15,413 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's newly redrawn 25th congressional district, effective for the 2026 cycle following April legislative action, stretches along the South Florida coast through parts of Miami-Dade, Broward, and Palm Beach counties and features demographics that have positioned the Democratic nominee as the clear frontrunner. Incumbent Jared Moskowitz, who shifted from the 23rd district, holds a substantial lead in the August 18 Democratic primary over challenger Oliver Larkin according to recent polling, while multiple Republicans compete in their concurrent primary. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 73% implied probability in the November 3 general election, reflecting the district's partisan lean, Moskowitz's established profile, and historical patterns for similar seats, though the Republican primary outcome and general-election turnout dynamics could still influence the final result.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volumen
$22,019Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's newly redrawn 25th congressional district, effective for the 2026 cycle following April legislative action, stretches along the South Florida coast through parts of Miami-Dade, Broward, and Palm Beach counties and features demographics that have positioned the Democratic nominee as the clear frontrunner. Incumbent Jared Moskowitz, who shifted from the 23rd district, holds a substantial lead in the August 18 Democratic primary over challenger Oliver Larkin according to recent polling, while multiple Republicans compete in their concurrent primary. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 73% implied probability in the November 3 general election, reflecting the district's partisan lean, Moskowitz's established profile, and historical patterns for similar seats, though the Republican primary outcome and general-election turnout dynamics could still influence the final result.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$22,019Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's newly redrawn 25th congressional district, effective for the 2026 cycle following April legislative action, stretches along the South Florida coast through parts of Miami-Dade, Broward, and Palm Beach counties and features demographics that have positioned the Democratic nominee as the clear frontrunner. Incumbent Jared Moskowitz, who shifted from the 23rd district, holds a substantial lead in the August 18 Democratic primary over challenger Oliver Larkin according to recent polling, while multiple Republicans compete in their concurrent primary. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 73% implied probability in the November 3 general election, reflecting the district's partisan lean, Moskowitz's established profile, and historical patterns for similar seats, though the Republican primary outcome and general-election turnout dynamics could still influence the final result.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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