Skip to main content

Para operar en EE. UU., ve a polymarket.us

icon for Primera ronda de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 3er lugar
Mundo·Brasil

Primera ronda de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 3er lugar

icon for Primera ronda de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 3er lugar
Mundo·Brasil

Primera ronda de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 3er lugar

Augusto Cury 44.1%

Renan Santos 41%

Ronaldo Caiado 16%

Romeu Zema <1%

Polymarket

$1,156,038 Vol.

Augusto Cury 44.1%

Renan Santos 41%

Ronaldo Caiado 16%

Romeu Zema <1%

Polymarket

$1,156,038 Vol.

icon for Augusto Cury

Augusto Cury

$196,944 Vol.

44%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$308,969 Vol.

41%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$129,628 Vol.

16%

icon for Romeu Zema

Romeu Zema

$54,025 Vol.

1%

icon for Flávio Bolsonaro

Flávio Bolsonaro

$72,492 Vol.

1%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$63,464 Vol.

1%

icon for Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$51,759 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tarcisio de Freitas

Tarcisio de Freitas

$16,773 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jair Bolsonaro

Jair Bolsonaro

$15,847 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fernando Haddad

Fernando Haddad

$23,204 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michelle Bolsonaro

Michelle Bolsonaro

$20,815 Vol.

<1%

icon for Eduardo Bolsonaro

Eduardo Bolsonaro

$46,212 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ratinho Júnior

Ratinho Júnior

$104,208 Vol.

<1%

icon for Camilo Santana

Camilo Santana

$13,084 Vol.

<1%

icon for Geraldo Alckmin

Geraldo Alckmin

$11,811 Vol.

<1%

icon for Aldo Rebelo

Aldo Rebelo

$9,865 Vol.

<1%

icon for Eduardo Leite

Eduardo Leite

$9,374 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tereza Cristina

Tereza Cristina

$4,083 Vol.

<1%

icon for Helder Barbalho

Helder Barbalho

$3,481 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling aggregates place Augusto Cury and Renan Santos in a tight contest for third place behind Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro in the October 4 first round, with Ronaldo Caiado further back. Cury has maintained a modest lead in most September surveys through social media growth and Avante party visibility, while Renan Santos draws support from younger and anti-establishment voters via the Missão party. Caiado's PSD candidacy appeals to center-right governors but trails in national samples. Voter fragmentation among smaller conservative and centrist options, combined with ongoing economic concerns and institutional tensions, keeps the third-place outcome fluid. Any late shifts in turnout or debate performance could separate the contenders before ballots close.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$1,156,038
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling aggregates place Augusto Cury and Renan Santos in a tight contest for third place behind Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro in the October 4 first round, with Ronaldo Caiado further back. Cury has maintained a modest lead in most September surveys through social media growth and Avante party visibility, while Renan Santos draws support from younger and anti-establishment voters via the Missão party. Caiado's PSD candidacy appeals to center-right governors but trails in national samples. Voter fragmentation among smaller conservative and centrist options, combined with ongoing economic concerns and institutional tensions, keeps the third-place outcome fluid. Any late shifts in turnout or debate performance could separate the contenders before ballots close.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$1,156,038
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Relacionado

icon for ¿Terminará Flávio Bolsonaro en segundo lugar en la primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales brasileñas de 2026?

¿Terminará Flávio Bolsonaro en segundo lugar en la primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales brasileñas de 2026?

76%
Sí
icon for ¿Ganará Lula la mayor cantidad de votos en la primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil de 2026?

¿Ganará Lula la mayor cantidad de votos en la primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil de 2026?

78%
Sí
icon for ¿Obtendrá Flavio Bolsonaro la mayor cantidad de votos en la próxima elección presidencial de Brasil en el Distrito Federal?

¿Obtendrá Flavio Bolsonaro la mayor cantidad de votos en la próxima elección presidencial de Brasil en el Distrito Federal?

93%
Sí

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Primera ronda de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 3er lugar" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 19 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Augusto Cury" con 44%, seguido de "Renan Santos" con 41%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 44¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 44% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Primera ronda de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 3er lugar" ha generado $1.2 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Feb 11, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Primera ronda de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 3er lugar", explora los 19 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Primera ronda de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 3er lugar" es "Augusto Cury" con 44%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 44% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Renan Santos" con 41%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Primera ronda de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 3er lugar" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.