David Crowley holds a commanding position in trader assessments for the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial race following his narrow Democratic primary victory over Francesca Hong on August 11 and subsequent polling leads. Post-primary surveys from Marquette Law School and others show Crowley ahead of Republican nominee Tom Tiffany by 3–5 points among likely voters, driven by stronger Democratic consolidation, favorable independent support, and the open-seat dynamics after incumbent Tony Evers opted not to seek a third term. Tiffany secured his nomination easily with backing from President Trump but faces headwinds in a state where recent gubernatorial outcomes and midterm turnout patterns have often favored the opposition party. Market pricing reflects these structural and polling factors more than any single late-August event.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$556,848 Vol.
$556,848 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
David Crowley (D)
83%
Tom Tiffany (R)
18%
$556,848 Vol.
$556,848 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
David Crowley (D)
$292,904 Vol.
83%
Tom Tiffany (R)
$263,944 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.David Crowley holds a commanding position in trader assessments for the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial race following his narrow Democratic primary victory over Francesca Hong on August 11 and subsequent polling leads. Post-primary surveys from Marquette Law School and others show Crowley ahead of Republican nominee Tom Tiffany by 3–5 points among likely voters, driven by stronger Democratic consolidation, favorable independent support, and the open-seat dynamics after incumbent Tony Evers opted not to seek a third term. Tiffany secured his nomination easily with backing from President Trump but faces headwinds in a state where recent gubernatorial outcomes and midterm turnout patterns have often favored the opposition party. Market pricing reflects these structural and polling factors more than any single late-August event.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volumen
$556,848Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.David Crowley holds a commanding position in trader assessments for the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial race following his narrow Democratic primary victory over Francesca Hong on August 11 and subsequent polling leads. Post-primary surveys from Marquette Law School and others show Crowley ahead of Republican nominee Tom Tiffany by 3–5 points among likely voters, driven by stronger Democratic consolidation, favorable independent support, and the open-seat dynamics after incumbent Tony Evers opted not to seek a third term. Tiffany secured his nomination easily with backing from President Trump but faces headwinds in a state where recent gubernatorial outcomes and midterm turnout patterns have often favored the opposition party. Market pricing reflects these structural and polling factors more than any single late-August event.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$556,848Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...David Crowley holds a commanding position in trader assessments for the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial race following his narrow Democratic primary victory over Francesca Hong on August 11 and subsequent polling leads. Post-primary surveys from Marquette Law School and others show Crowley ahead of Republican nominee Tom Tiffany by 3–5 points among likely voters, driven by stronger Democratic consolidation, favorable independent support, and the open-seat dynamics after incumbent Tony Evers opted not to seek a third term. Tiffany secured his nomination easily with backing from President Trump but faces headwinds in a state where recent gubernatorial outcomes and midterm turnout patterns have often favored the opposition party. Market pricing reflects these structural and polling factors more than any single late-August event.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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