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icon for Das beste Rennen der Dems im Senat?
Politik·Sherrod Braun

Das beste Rennen der Dems im Senat?

icon for Das beste Rennen der Dems im Senat?
Politik·Sherrod Braun

Das beste Rennen der Dems im Senat?

Michigan 53%

Maine 20%

Alaska 19%

Texas 9%

Polymarket
NEU

Michigan 53%

Maine 20%

Alaska 19%

Texas 9%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for Michigan

Michigan

$2,547 Vol.

53%

icon for Maine

Maine

$195 Vol.

20%

icon for Alaska

Alaska

$201 Vol.

19%

icon for Texas

Texas

$109 Vol.

10%

icon for Ohio

Ohio

$273 Vol.

4%

icon for Iowa

Iowa

$109 Vol.

3%

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Democratic Senate candidate earns the highest vote share percentage in the midterm election. Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Democrat, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Democrats, this market will resolve in favor of the Democrat with the higher vote share. If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order. In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market. The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Michigan stands out among the toss-up Senate contests as Democrats’ strongest opportunity because it is an open seat in a true swing state with an even partisan lean, where recent polling averages show the Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed running essentially even or narrowly ahead of Republican Mike Rogers after a contentious August primary. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report rate the race a toss-up, reflecting the state’s battleground status and the absence of an incumbent advantage. Maine remains competitive due to Susan Collins’s moderate profile in a state Harris carried in 2024, though the Democratic nominee change to Troy Jackson has kept the contest tight. Alaska benefits from Mary Peltola’s proven appeal and ranked-choice voting dynamics against Dan Sullivan. Texas and Ohio have moved into toss-up territory per recent adjustments by nonpartisan raters, driven by polling shifts and the broader midterm environment, while Iowa trails as a more Republican-leaning open seat.

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Democratic Senate candidate earns the highest vote share percentage in the midterm election.

Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Democrat, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Democrats, this market will resolve in favor of the Democrat with the higher vote share.

If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.

In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.

The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Democratic Senate candidate earns the highest vote share percentage in the midterm election. Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Democrat, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Democrats, this market will resolve in favor of the Democrat with the higher vote share. If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order. In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market. The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$3,435
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 2, 2026, 1:44 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Democratic Senate candidate earns the highest vote share percentage in the midterm election. Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Democrat, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Democrats, this market will resolve in favor of the Democrat with the higher vote share. If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order. In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market. The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Michigan stands out among the toss-up Senate contests as Democrats’ strongest opportunity because it is an open seat in a true swing state with an even partisan lean, where recent polling averages show the Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed running essentially even or narrowly ahead of Republican Mike Rogers after a contentious August primary. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report rate the race a toss-up, reflecting the state’s battleground status and the absence of an incumbent advantage. Maine remains competitive due to Susan Collins’s moderate profile in a state Harris carried in 2024, though the Democratic nominee change to Troy Jackson has kept the contest tight. Alaska benefits from Mary Peltola’s proven appeal and ranked-choice voting dynamics against Dan Sullivan. Texas and Ohio have moved into toss-up territory per recent adjustments by nonpartisan raters, driven by polling shifts and the broader midterm environment, while Iowa trails as a more Republican-leaning open seat.

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Democratic Senate candidate earns the highest vote share percentage in the midterm election.

Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Democrat, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Democrats, this market will resolve in favor of the Democrat with the higher vote share.

If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.

In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.

The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Democratic Senate candidate earns the highest vote share percentage in the midterm election. Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Democrat, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Democrats, this market will resolve in favor of the Democrat with the higher vote share. If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order. In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market. The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$3,435
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 2, 2026, 1:44 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

icon for Will Texas have the closest Senate race in 2026?

Will Texas have the closest Senate race in 2026?

15%
icon for Will the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race be within 1%?

Will the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race be within 1%?

52%
icon for Wird das Senatsrennen 2026 in Texas innerhalb von 5 % liegen?

Wird das Senatsrennen 2026 in Texas innerhalb von 5 % liegen?

80%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Das beste Rennen der Dems im Senat?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 6 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Michigan" mit 53%, gefolgt von „Maine" mit 20%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 53¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 53% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Das beste Rennen der Dems im Senat?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Sep 2, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Das beste Rennen der Dems im Senat?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 6 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Das beste Rennen der Dems im Senat?" ist „Michigan" mit 53%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 53% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Maine" mit 20%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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