Recent U.S. sanctions relief, regulatory reforms slashing government take on oil projects to 20-35%, and accelerated foreign investment—led by Chevron's $7 billion plan to double its output—have lifted Venezuelan crude production to around 1.2 million barrels per day in mid-2026, up sharply from 2025 levels. PDVSA targets 1.37-1.4 million bpd by year-end, supported by higher diluent imports and joint-venture expansions, though operational bottlenecks and infrastructure constraints cap near-term upside according to analysts. Market-implied odds for reaching specific 2026 thresholds reflect trader assessments of sustained capital inflows versus these hurdles, with debt restructuring and further policy signals as key upcoming catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$184,081 Vol.
27. Feb. 2027
1,2 Mio.
57%
1,3 Mio.
22%
1,4 Mio.
8%
1,5 Mio.
5%
1,7 Mio.
4%
2 Mio.
2%
$184,081 Vol.
1,2 Mio.
$10,884 Vol.
57%
1,3 Mio.
$7,925 Vol.
22%
1,4 Mio.
$19,774 Vol.
8%
1,5 Mio.
$9,840 Vol.
5%
1,7 Mio.
$59,680 Vol.
4%
2 Mio.
$16,339 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Recent U.S. sanctions relief, regulatory reforms slashing government take on oil projects to 20-35%, and accelerated foreign investment—led by Chevron's $7 billion plan to double its output—have lifted Venezuelan crude production to around 1.2 million barrels per day in mid-2026, up sharply from 2025 levels. PDVSA targets 1.37-1.4 million bpd by year-end, supported by higher diluent imports and joint-venture expansions, though operational bottlenecks and infrastructure constraints cap near-term upside according to analysts. Market-implied odds for reaching specific 2026 thresholds reflect trader assessments of sustained capital inflows versus these hurdles, with debt restructuring and further policy signals as key upcoming catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ET
Volumen
$184,081Enddatum
28. Feb. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Recent U.S. sanctions relief, regulatory reforms slashing government take on oil projects to 20-35%, and accelerated foreign investment—led by Chevron's $7 billion plan to double its output—have lifted Venezuelan crude production to around 1.2 million barrels per day in mid-2026, up sharply from 2025 levels. PDVSA targets 1.37-1.4 million bpd by year-end, supported by higher diluent imports and joint-venture expansions, though operational bottlenecks and infrastructure constraints cap near-term upside according to analysts. Market-implied odds for reaching specific 2026 thresholds reflect trader assessments of sustained capital inflows versus these hurdles, with debt restructuring and further policy signals as key upcoming catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Volumen
$184,081Enddatum
28. Feb. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. sanctions relief, regulatory reforms slashing government take on oil projects to 20-35%, and accelerated foreign investment—led by Chevron's $7 billion plan to double its output—have lifted Venezuelan crude production to around 1.2 million barrels per day in mid-2026, up sharply from 2025 levels. PDVSA targets 1.37-1.4 million bpd by year-end, supported by higher diluent imports and joint-venture expansions, though operational bottlenecks and infrastructure constraints cap near-term upside according to analysts. Market-implied odds for reaching specific 2026 thresholds reflect trader assessments of sustained capital inflows versus these hurdles, with debt restructuring and further policy signals as key upcoming catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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