Delcy Rodríguez assumed Venezuela’s acting presidency in January 2026 after U.S. forces captured Nicolás Maduro on narco-terrorism charges, with the Supreme Tribunal of Justice installing her as interim leader and the military providing initial backing. She has since maintained control amid U.S. diplomatic engagement and economic coordination, including sanctions relief and influence over oil revenues, while opposition figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain sidelined in exile. June earthquakes strained governance but did not alter the power structure, and no electoral timeline has advanced. Traders price Rodríguez’s continuity at end-2026 as the dominant outcome given this institutional and external consolidation, with all other named figures carrying minimal implied probability due to limited current leverage or visibility.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertDelcy Rodríguez 90%
María Corina Machado 2.7%
Dinorah Figuera 2.1%
Pete Hegseth <1%
$368,158 Vol.
$368,158 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Delcy Rodríguez
90%
María Corina Machado
3%
Dinorah Figuera
2%
Pete Hegseth
1%
Marco Rubio
1%
Dan Caine
1%
Nicolás Maduro
1%
Edmundo González
1%
Donald Trump
1%
Kein Staatsoberhaupt
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
<1%
Frank Donovan
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
<1%
Evan Pettus
<1%
Richard Grenell
<1%
Delcy Rodríguez 90%
María Corina Machado 2.7%
Dinorah Figuera 2.1%
Pete Hegseth <1%
$368,158 Vol.
$368,158 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Delcy Rodríguez
$86,592 Vol.
90%
María Corina Machado
$52,368 Vol.
3%
Dinorah Figuera
$4,171 Vol.
2%
Pete Hegseth
$2,758 Vol.
1%
Marco Rubio
$5,960 Vol.
1%
Dan Caine
$3,059 Vol.
1%
Nicolás Maduro
$4,151 Vol.
1%
Edmundo González
$3,500 Vol.
1%
Donald Trump
$2,670 Vol.
1%
Kein Staatsoberhaupt
$66,886 Vol.
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
$8,193 Vol.
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
$68,019 Vol.
<1%
Frank Donovan
$42,101 Vol.
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
$3,393 Vol.
<1%
Evan Pettus
$7,128 Vol.
<1%
Richard Grenell
$7,209 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.Delcy Rodríguez assumed Venezuela’s acting presidency in January 2026 after U.S. forces captured Nicolás Maduro on narco-terrorism charges, with the Supreme Tribunal of Justice installing her as interim leader and the military providing initial backing. She has since maintained control amid U.S. diplomatic engagement and economic coordination, including sanctions relief and influence over oil revenues, while opposition figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain sidelined in exile. June earthquakes strained governance but did not alter the power structure, and no electoral timeline has advanced. Traders price Rodríguez’s continuity at end-2026 as the dominant outcome given this institutional and external consolidation, with all other named figures carrying minimal implied probability due to limited current leverage or visibility.
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
Markt eröffnet: May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
Volumen
$368,158Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.Delcy Rodríguez assumed Venezuela’s acting presidency in January 2026 after U.S. forces captured Nicolás Maduro on narco-terrorism charges, with the Supreme Tribunal of Justice installing her as interim leader and the military providing initial backing. She has since maintained control amid U.S. diplomatic engagement and economic coordination, including sanctions relief and influence over oil revenues, while opposition figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain sidelined in exile. June earthquakes strained governance but did not alter the power structure, and no electoral timeline has advanced. Traders price Rodríguez’s continuity at end-2026 as the dominant outcome given this institutional and external consolidation, with all other named figures carrying minimal implied probability due to limited current leverage or visibility.
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
Volumen
$368,158Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Delcy Rodríguez assumed Venezuela’s acting presidency in January 2026 after U.S. forces captured Nicolás Maduro on narco-terrorism charges, with the Supreme Tribunal of Justice installing her as interim leader and the military providing initial backing. She has since maintained control amid U.S. diplomatic engagement and economic coordination, including sanctions relief and influence over oil revenues, while opposition figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain sidelined in exile. June earthquakes strained governance but did not alter the power structure, and no electoral timeline has advanced. Traders price Rodríguez’s continuity at end-2026 as the dominant outcome given this institutional and external consolidation, with all other named figures carrying minimal implied probability due to limited current leverage or visibility.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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