Recent U.S. access to Venezuelan production through a new equity stake in multiple fields underpins trader focus on Strategic Petroleum Reserve replenishment. The SPR sits near a 44-year low at roughly 290 million barrels after releases tied to the Iran conflict, prompting Energy Secretary Chris Wright to outline potential swaps of heavy Venezuelan crude for lighter domestic grades suitable for storage caverns. Current Venezuelan output near 1.25 million barrels per day already directs over 500,000 barrels daily to U.S. Gulf refineries, yet quality mismatches and infrastructure constraints suggest any meaningful addition will unfold gradually rather than immediately. Upcoming production ramp timelines and Federal Reserve or Treasury data on energy balances remain key variables for implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNEU
30. Sep. 2026
30. September
3%
31. Dezember
25%
$856 Vol.
30. September
$856 Vol.
3%
31. Dezember
$0 Vol.
25%
On August 28, 2026, the United States and Venezuela announced an oil deal granting the United States access to Venezuela's crude oil reserves.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify.
The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent U.S. access to Venezuelan production through a new equity stake in multiple fields underpins trader focus on Strategic Petroleum Reserve replenishment. The SPR sits near a 44-year low at roughly 290 million barrels after releases tied to the Iran conflict, prompting Energy Secretary Chris Wright to outline potential swaps of heavy Venezuelan crude for lighter domestic grades suitable for storage caverns. Current Venezuelan output near 1.25 million barrels per day already directs over 500,000 barrels daily to U.S. Gulf refineries, yet quality mismatches and infrastructure constraints suggest any meaningful addition will unfold gradually rather than immediately. Upcoming production ramp timelines and Federal Reserve or Treasury data on energy balances remain key variables for implied probabilities.
On August 28, 2026, the United States and Venezuela announced an oil deal granting the United States access to Venezuela's crude oil reserves.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify.
The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify.
The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 2, 2026, 2:16 PM ET
Volumen
$856Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Sep 2, 2026, 2:16 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...On August 28, 2026, the United States and Venezuela announced an oil deal granting the United States access to Venezuela's crude oil reserves.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify.
The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent U.S. access to Venezuelan production through a new equity stake in multiple fields underpins trader focus on Strategic Petroleum Reserve replenishment. The SPR sits near a 44-year low at roughly 290 million barrels after releases tied to the Iran conflict, prompting Energy Secretary Chris Wright to outline potential swaps of heavy Venezuelan crude for lighter domestic grades suitable for storage caverns. Current Venezuelan output near 1.25 million barrels per day already directs over 500,000 barrels daily to U.S. Gulf refineries, yet quality mismatches and infrastructure constraints suggest any meaningful addition will unfold gradually rather than immediately. Upcoming production ramp timelines and Federal Reserve or Treasury data on energy balances remain key variables for implied probabilities.
On August 28, 2026, the United States and Venezuela announced an oil deal granting the United States access to Venezuela's crude oil reserves.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify.
The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify.
The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$856Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Sep 2, 2026, 2:16 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. access to Venezuelan production through a new equity stake in multiple fields underpins trader focus on Strategic Petroleum Reserve replenishment. The SPR sits near a 44-year low at roughly 290 million barrels after releases tied to the Iran conflict, prompting Energy Secretary Chris Wright to outline potential swaps of heavy Venezuelan crude for lighter domestic grades suitable for storage caverns. Current Venezuelan output near 1.25 million barrels per day already directs over 500,000 barrels daily to U.S. Gulf refineries, yet quality mismatches and infrastructure constraints suggest any meaningful addition will unfold gradually rather than immediately. Upcoming production ramp timelines and Federal Reserve or Treasury data on energy balances remain key variables for implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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