Nicolás Maduro faces four felony counts in a U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York, including narco-terrorism conspiracy and cocaine importation conspiracy, following his January 2026 capture by U.S. forces and transfer to federal custody. He and co-defendant Cilia Flores entered not guilty pleas at arraignment, and the court set a June 1, 2027, trial date after a July 2026 status hearing. Defense counsel has signaled plans to file pre-trial motions by early September 2026 seeking dismissal on head-of-state immunity grounds and other procedural challenges, with argument scheduled for November 2026. These factors, combined with the extended timeline before any jury considers evidence and the inherent uncertainties of complex federal prosecutions involving foreign officials, underpin trader consensus favoring acquittal or non-conviction on all counts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
32% Chance
$132,656 Vol.
$132,656 Vol.
31. Dez. 2027
Ja
32% Chance
$132,656 Vol.
$132,656 Vol.
31. Dez. 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro faces four felony counts in a U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York, including narco-terrorism conspiracy and cocaine importation conspiracy, following his January 2026 capture by U.S. forces and transfer to federal custody. He and co-defendant Cilia Flores entered not guilty pleas at arraignment, and the court set a June 1, 2027, trial date after a July 2026 status hearing. Defense counsel has signaled plans to file pre-trial motions by early September 2026 seeking dismissal on head-of-state immunity grounds and other procedural challenges, with argument scheduled for November 2026. These factors, combined with the extended timeline before any jury considers evidence and the inherent uncertainties of complex federal prosecutions involving foreign officials, underpin trader consensus favoring acquittal or non-conviction on all counts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
Volumen
$132,656Enddatum
31. Dez. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro faces four felony counts in a U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York, including narco-terrorism conspiracy and cocaine importation conspiracy, following his January 2026 capture by U.S. forces and transfer to federal custody. He and co-defendant Cilia Flores entered not guilty pleas at arraignment, and the court set a June 1, 2027, trial date after a July 2026 status hearing. Defense counsel has signaled plans to file pre-trial motions by early September 2026 seeking dismissal on head-of-state immunity grounds and other procedural challenges, with argument scheduled for November 2026. These factors, combined with the extended timeline before any jury considers evidence and the inherent uncertainties of complex federal prosecutions involving foreign officials, underpin trader consensus favoring acquittal or non-conviction on all counts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$132,656Enddatum
31. Dez. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Nicolás Maduro faces four felony counts in a U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York, including narco-terrorism conspiracy and cocaine importation conspiracy, following his January 2026 capture by U.S. forces and transfer to federal custody. He and co-defendant Cilia Flores entered not guilty pleas at arraignment, and the court set a June 1, 2027, trial date after a July 2026 status hearing. Defense counsel has signaled plans to file pre-trial motions by early September 2026 seeking dismissal on head-of-state immunity grounds and other procedural challenges, with argument scheduled for November 2026. These factors, combined with the extended timeline before any jury considers evidence and the inherent uncertainties of complex federal prosecutions involving foreign officials, underpin trader consensus favoring acquittal or non-conviction on all counts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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