The ongoing Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak declared in May 2026 in DRC's Ituri Province, now exceeding 4,900 confirmed cases with sustained transmission across multiple provinces, has established clear market consensus around cases there plus limited spread to Uganda (20 confirmed before its outbreak ended) and one imported case in France. The WHO PHEIC designation and Africa CDC alerts for 10 neighboring countries highlight cross-border travel and weak health infrastructure as key risk factors that could trigger additional reports before year-end. Traders monitor isolation rates, vaccination efforts, and weekly case trends, noting how rapid containment in Uganda versus DRC's scale shapes probabilities for further international detections amid seasonal mobility.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWhich countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
$33,287 Vol.
South Sudan
66%
Rwanda
28%
Burundi
32%
United States
21%
Canada
28%
Kenya
53%
India
14%
Republic of the Congo
26%
Nigeria
47%
Ethiopia
49%
Somalia
34%
China
21%
$33,287 Vol.
South Sudan
66%
Rwanda
28%
Burundi
32%
United States
21%
Canada
28%
Kenya
53%
India
14%
Republic of the Congo
26%
Nigeria
47%
Ethiopia
49%
Somalia
34%
China
21%
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Markt eröffnet: May 22, 2026, 12:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The ongoing Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak declared in May 2026 in DRC's Ituri Province, now exceeding 4,900 confirmed cases with sustained transmission across multiple provinces, has established clear market consensus around cases there plus limited spread to Uganda (20 confirmed before its outbreak ended) and one imported case in France. The WHO PHEIC designation and Africa CDC alerts for 10 neighboring countries highlight cross-border travel and weak health infrastructure as key risk factors that could trigger additional reports before year-end. Traders monitor isolation rates, vaccination efforts, and weekly case trends, noting how rapid containment in Uganda versus DRC's scale shapes probabilities for further international detections amid seasonal mobility.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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