United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader assessments for the September 18–20, 2026 State Duma election due to its status as the incumbent ruling party aligned with the Kremlin, extensive institutional resources, and a parallel voting system that combines party-list and single-member district seats. Recent developments include the June presidential decree setting the election date, candidate list registrations showing reduced opposition participation, Supreme Court disqualification of Yabloko from party-list competition, and government-affiliated polls indicating United Russia support well above the 5% threshold while other parties trail significantly. Multi-day voting and expanded remote electronic voting in dozens of regions further consolidate advantages for established structures. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited but include sharp late shifts in turnout patterns, major external events affecting public sentiment, or post-election disputes over results in key districts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertEiniges Russland (ER) 98.9%
Kommunistische Partei der Russischen Föderation (KPRF) <1%
Neue Leute (NL) <1%
Liberaldemokratische Partei Russlands (LDPR) <1%
$3,388,172 Vol.
$3,388,172 Vol.
29. Sep. 2026
Einiges Russland (ER)
99%
Kommunistische Partei der Russischen Föderation (KPRF)
1%
Neue Leute (NL)
<1%
Liberaldemokratische Partei Russlands (LDPR)
<1%
Jabloko
<1%
Gerechtes Russland – Für die Wahrheit (SRZP)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
Bürgerplattform (GP)
<1%
Einiges Russland (ER) 98.9%
Kommunistische Partei der Russischen Föderation (KPRF) <1%
Neue Leute (NL) <1%
Liberaldemokratische Partei Russlands (LDPR) <1%
$3,388,172 Vol.
$3,388,172 Vol.
29. Sep. 2026
Einiges Russland (ER)
$892,093 Vol.
99%
Kommunistische Partei der Russischen Föderation (KPRF)
$196,973 Vol.
1%
Neue Leute (NL)
$159,791 Vol.
<1%
Liberaldemokratische Partei Russlands (LDPR)
$225,212 Vol.
<1%
Jabloko
$61,709 Vol.
<1%
Gerechtes Russland – Für die Wahrheit (SRZP)
$742,252 Vol.
<1%
Rodina
$505,710 Vol.
<1%
Bürgerplattform (GP)
$604,433 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader assessments for the September 18–20, 2026 State Duma election due to its status as the incumbent ruling party aligned with the Kremlin, extensive institutional resources, and a parallel voting system that combines party-list and single-member district seats. Recent developments include the June presidential decree setting the election date, candidate list registrations showing reduced opposition participation, Supreme Court disqualification of Yabloko from party-list competition, and government-affiliated polls indicating United Russia support well above the 5% threshold while other parties trail significantly. Multi-day voting and expanded remote electronic voting in dozens of regions further consolidate advantages for established structures. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited but include sharp late shifts in turnout patterns, major external events affecting public sentiment, or post-election disputes over results in key districts.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Volumen
$3,388,172Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader assessments for the September 18–20, 2026 State Duma election due to its status as the incumbent ruling party aligned with the Kremlin, extensive institutional resources, and a parallel voting system that combines party-list and single-member district seats. Recent developments include the June presidential decree setting the election date, candidate list registrations showing reduced opposition participation, Supreme Court disqualification of Yabloko from party-list competition, and government-affiliated polls indicating United Russia support well above the 5% threshold while other parties trail significantly. Multi-day voting and expanded remote electronic voting in dozens of regions further consolidate advantages for established structures. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited but include sharp late shifts in turnout patterns, major external events affecting public sentiment, or post-election disputes over results in key districts.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volumen
$3,388,172Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader assessments for the September 18–20, 2026 State Duma election due to its status as the incumbent ruling party aligned with the Kremlin, extensive institutional resources, and a parallel voting system that combines party-list and single-member district seats. Recent developments include the June presidential decree setting the election date, candidate list registrations showing reduced opposition participation, Supreme Court disqualification of Yabloko from party-list competition, and government-affiliated polls indicating United Russia support well above the 5% threshold while other parties trail significantly. Multi-day voting and expanded remote electronic voting in dozens of regions further consolidate advantages for established structures. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited but include sharp late shifts in turnout patterns, major external events affecting public sentiment, or post-election disputes over results in key districts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertVerwandte
Wird Neue Leute (NL) die vierthöchste Anzahl an Sitzen bei der nächsten russischen Parlamentswahl gewinnen?
41%
Ja
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
51%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
85%
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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