One Night Only, a romantic comedy starring Callum Turner and Monica Barbaro, opened to just $2.81 million on its first day across roughly 3,000 theaters, placing it a distant third behind Spider-Man: Brand New Day and another major release. Traders have priced in a sub-$6 million weekend at 98% because the August 7 debut faced overwhelming franchise competition, modest presales, and middling early reviews around 46% on Rotten Tomatoes. Limited word-of-mouth momentum for the Will Gluck-directed film further caps upside. An upset above $7 million would require exceptional audience walk-up or stronger-than-expected holdover performance amid the crowded marketplace.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert"One Night Only" Eröffnungswochenende Abendkasse
<6m 98.0%
6-7m 2.0%
7-8m <1%
8-9m <1%
$25,327 Vol.
$25,327 Vol.
<6m
98%
6-7m
2%
7-8m
1%
8-9m
<1%
9 Mio.+
<1%
<6m 98.0%
6-7m 2.0%
7-8m <1%
8-9m <1%
$25,327 Vol.
$25,327 Vol.
<6m
98%
6-7m
2%
7-8m
1%
8-9m
<1%
9 Mio.+
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 5, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...One Night Only, a romantic comedy starring Callum Turner and Monica Barbaro, opened to just $2.81 million on its first day across roughly 3,000 theaters, placing it a distant third behind Spider-Man: Brand New Day and another major release. Traders have priced in a sub-$6 million weekend at 98% because the August 7 debut faced overwhelming franchise competition, modest presales, and middling early reviews around 46% on Rotten Tomatoes. Limited word-of-mouth momentum for the Will Gluck-directed film further caps upside. An upset above $7 million would require exceptional audience walk-up or stronger-than-expected holdover performance amid the crowded marketplace.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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