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Technik·SpaceX

Essstäbchen fangen eine Sternenschiff-Oberstufe, indem sie...?

icon for Essstäbchen fangen eine Sternenschiff-Oberstufe, indem sie...?
Technik·SpaceX

Essstäbchen fangen eine Sternenschiff-Oberstufe, indem sie...?

Okt. 31

Okt. 31

Okt. 31

Okt. 31

NEU
31. Aug. 2026
Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

Polymarket

31. August 2026

$0 Vol.

50%

30. September 2026

$0 Vol.

52%

31. Oktober 2026

$0 Vol.

54%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Starship upper stage is successfully caught by the chopsticks on the Orbital Launch Tower between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the Starship upper stage without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process. If SpaceX attempts an ocean splashdown of the Starship upper stage instead of attempting to catch it using the Orbital Launch Tower's chopsticks, that attempt will not qualify. If no Starship launch occurs, or a successful catch does not take place, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.SpaceX is accelerating toward the first tower catch of a Starship upper stage following the successful July 2026 Flight 13 splashdown of a V3 vehicle that delivered intact heat shield data and precise trajectory control. Recent tower upgrades—including shorter, faster electromechanical chopsticks—build directly on prior Super Heavy booster catches to enable precise mid-air recovery of the 50-meter Ship. Flight 14, targeted for late August 2026 as the first orbital-class test of V3 hardware, stands as the leading near-term opportunity, with Elon Musk signaling attempts across flights 13–15 contingent on vehicle performance. Full reusability hinges on demonstrating reliable catch capability amid ongoing risks of heat shield issues, trajectory deviations, or regulatory holds.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Starship upper stage is successfully caught by the chopsticks on the Orbital Launch Tower between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the Starship upper stage without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process.

If SpaceX attempts an ocean splashdown of the Starship upper stage instead of attempting to catch it using the Orbital Launch Tower's chopsticks, that attempt will not qualify. If no Starship launch occurs, or a successful catch does not take place, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Volumen
$0
Enddatum
31. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 8, 2026, 12:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Starship upper stage is successfully caught by the chopsticks on the Orbital Launch Tower between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the Starship upper stage without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process. If SpaceX attempts an ocean splashdown of the Starship upper stage instead of attempting to catch it using the Orbital Launch Tower's chopsticks, that attempt will not qualify. If no Starship launch occurs, or a successful catch does not take place, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Starship upper stage is successfully caught by the chopsticks on the Orbital Launch Tower between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the Starship upper stage without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process. If SpaceX attempts an ocean splashdown of the Starship upper stage instead of attempting to catch it using the Orbital Launch Tower's chopsticks, that attempt will not qualify. If no Starship launch occurs, or a successful catch does not take place, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.SpaceX is accelerating toward the first tower catch of a Starship upper stage following the successful July 2026 Flight 13 splashdown of a V3 vehicle that delivered intact heat shield data and precise trajectory control. Recent tower upgrades—including shorter, faster electromechanical chopsticks—build directly on prior Super Heavy booster catches to enable precise mid-air recovery of the 50-meter Ship. Flight 14, targeted for late August 2026 as the first orbital-class test of V3 hardware, stands as the leading near-term opportunity, with Elon Musk signaling attempts across flights 13–15 contingent on vehicle performance. Full reusability hinges on demonstrating reliable catch capability amid ongoing risks of heat shield issues, trajectory deviations, or regulatory holds.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Starship upper stage is successfully caught by the chopsticks on the Orbital Launch Tower between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the Starship upper stage without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process.

If SpaceX attempts an ocean splashdown of the Starship upper stage instead of attempting to catch it using the Orbital Launch Tower's chopsticks, that attempt will not qualify. If no Starship launch occurs, or a successful catch does not take place, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Volumen
$0
Enddatum
31. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 8, 2026, 12:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Starship upper stage is successfully caught by the chopsticks on the Orbital Launch Tower between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the Starship upper stage without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process. If SpaceX attempts an ocean splashdown of the Starship upper stage instead of attempting to catch it using the Orbital Launch Tower's chopsticks, that attempt will not qualify. If no Starship launch occurs, or a successful catch does not take place, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.

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