Elon Musk's recent three-day posting window resolved in the 40-64 range, establishing the baseline traders are pricing most heavily for August 10-12. Historical data shows his typical output hovers around 15-21 countable posts daily during routine periods, aligning with moderate weekend activity absent major catalysts. The market's implied probability favors this bracket because no imminent product launches, regulatory hearings, or high-profile controversies appear positioned to drive elevated engagement. Adjacent ranges like 65-89 reflect the possibility of a modest uptick from Grok-related promotions or platform updates, while lower-volume outcomes remain discounted given Musk's established social media cadence on X.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert40-64 47%
65-89 24%
<40 17%
90-114 7%
NEU
NEU
12. Aug. 2026
<40
17%
40-64
47%
65-89
24%
90-114
7%
115-139
2%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190–214
1%
215-239
1%
240+
<1%
40-64 47%
65-89 24%
<40 17%
90-114 7%
NEU
NEU
12. Aug. 2026
<40
$17 Vol.
17%
40-64
$0 Vol.
47%
65-89
$1,037 Vol.
24%
90-114
$40 Vol.
7%
115-139
$50 Vol.
2%
140-164
$552 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$567 Vol.
<1%
190–214
$99 Vol.
1%
215-239
$96 Vol.
1%
240+
$177 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 10 12:00 PM ET to August 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's recent three-day posting window resolved in the 40-64 range, establishing the baseline traders are pricing most heavily for August 10-12. Historical data shows his typical output hovers around 15-21 countable posts daily during routine periods, aligning with moderate weekend activity absent major catalysts. The market's implied probability favors this bracket because no imminent product launches, regulatory hearings, or high-profile controversies appear positioned to drive elevated engagement. Adjacent ranges like 65-89 reflect the possibility of a modest uptick from Grok-related promotions or platform updates, while lower-volume outcomes remain discounted given Musk's established social media cadence on X.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 10 12:00 PM ET to August 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 8, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volumen
$2,634Enddatum
12. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 8, 2026, 12:07 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 10 12:00 PM ET to August 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's recent three-day posting window resolved in the 40-64 range, establishing the baseline traders are pricing most heavily for August 10-12. Historical data shows his typical output hovers around 15-21 countable posts daily during routine periods, aligning with moderate weekend activity absent major catalysts. The market's implied probability favors this bracket because no imminent product launches, regulatory hearings, or high-profile controversies appear positioned to drive elevated engagement. Adjacent ranges like 65-89 reflect the possibility of a modest uptick from Grok-related promotions or platform updates, while lower-volume outcomes remain discounted given Musk's established social media cadence on X.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 10 12:00 PM ET to August 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$2,634Enddatum
12. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 8, 2026, 12:07 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's recent three-day posting window resolved in the 40-64 range, establishing the baseline traders are pricing most heavily for August 10-12. Historical data shows his typical output hovers around 15-21 countable posts daily during routine periods, aligning with moderate weekend activity absent major catalysts. The market's implied probability favors this bracket because no imminent product launches, regulatory hearings, or high-profile controversies appear positioned to drive elevated engagement. Adjacent ranges like 65-89 reflect the possibility of a modest uptick from Grok-related promotions or platform updates, while lower-volume outcomes remain discounted given Musk's established social media cadence on X.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen