Anthropic's June 2026 launch of Claude Mythos 5 and the safeguarded Fable 5 variant has established the Mythos-class benchmark for frontier large language models excelling in agentic coding, long-horizon reasoning, and cybersecurity tasks such as vulnerability reproduction. This release, following limited previews under Project Glasswing, shifted trader focus toward which lab will next deliver a comparable system, with OpenAI's GPT-5.5-Cyber already positioned as a direct rival in restricted-access deployments. Competitive pressure from Google DeepMind and others, combined with regulatory scrutiny over dual-use capabilities, keeps odds fluid ahead of potential fall 2026 model updates or benchmark disclosures that could redefine the class threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNext Mythos-Class Model released by…?
Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?
$85,705 Vol.
30. Sep. 2026
July 31
<1%
August 31
39%
September 30
71%
$85,705 Vol.
July 31
$42,024 Vol.
<1%
August 31
$18,408 Vol.
39%
September 30
$25,274 Vol.
71%
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Anthropic's June 2026 launch of Claude Mythos 5 and the safeguarded Fable 5 variant has established the Mythos-class benchmark for frontier large language models excelling in agentic coding, long-horizon reasoning, and cybersecurity tasks such as vulnerability reproduction. This release, following limited previews under Project Glasswing, shifted trader focus toward which lab will next deliver a comparable system, with OpenAI's GPT-5.5-Cyber already positioned as a direct rival in restricted-access deployments. Competitive pressure from Google DeepMind and others, combined with regulatory scrutiny over dual-use capabilities, keeps odds fluid ahead of potential fall 2026 model updates or benchmark disclosures that could redefine the class threshold.
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 10, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$85,705Enddatum
30. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 10, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Anthropic's June 2026 launch of Claude Mythos 5 and the safeguarded Fable 5 variant has established the Mythos-class benchmark for frontier large language models excelling in agentic coding, long-horizon reasoning, and cybersecurity tasks such as vulnerability reproduction. This release, following limited previews under Project Glasswing, shifted trader focus toward which lab will next deliver a comparable system, with OpenAI's GPT-5.5-Cyber already positioned as a direct rival in restricted-access deployments. Competitive pressure from Google DeepMind and others, combined with regulatory scrutiny over dual-use capabilities, keeps odds fluid ahead of potential fall 2026 model updates or benchmark disclosures that could redefine the class threshold.
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$85,705Enddatum
30. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 10, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's June 2026 launch of Claude Mythos 5 and the safeguarded Fable 5 variant has established the Mythos-class benchmark for frontier large language models excelling in agentic coding, long-horizon reasoning, and cybersecurity tasks such as vulnerability reproduction. This release, following limited previews under Project Glasswing, shifted trader focus toward which lab will next deliver a comparable system, with OpenAI's GPT-5.5-Cyber already positioned as a direct rival in restricted-access deployments. Competitive pressure from Google DeepMind and others, combined with regulatory scrutiny over dual-use capabilities, keeps odds fluid ahead of potential fall 2026 model updates or benchmark disclosures that could redefine the class threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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