Persistent reliability challenges at Anthropic continue to shape trader sentiment on Claude downtime in August, with frequent elevated-error incidents across models like Opus and Sonnet reflecting infrastructure strain from rapid user growth and large language model inference demands. Recent July 2026 events, including multiple degraded-performance periods on the API, claude.ai, and Claude Code, underscore ongoing capacity constraints despite 99%+ reported uptime, as quick-resolving outages still disrupt access for hours. Market-implied odds favor 8-10 affected days because historical patterns show recurring bottlenecks during peak usage, while higher counts hinge on sustained demand spikes or delayed infrastructure fixes, and lower ones require successful scaling improvements ahead of typical seasonal traffic. Traders weigh these variables against Anthropic's efforts to stabilize services.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert8-10 34%
14+ 20%
11-13 19%
5-7 16%
NEU
NEU
31. Aug. 2026
<5
5%
5-7
16%
8-10
34%
11-13
19%
14+
20%
8-10 34%
14+ 20%
11-13 19%
5-7 16%
NEU
NEU
31. Aug. 2026
<5
$410 Vol.
5%
5-7
$48 Vol.
16%
8-10
$0 Vol.
34%
11-13
$0 Vol.
19%
14+
$153 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the number of days in August 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Persistent reliability challenges at Anthropic continue to shape trader sentiment on Claude downtime in August, with frequent elevated-error incidents across models like Opus and Sonnet reflecting infrastructure strain from rapid user growth and large language model inference demands. Recent July 2026 events, including multiple degraded-performance periods on the API, claude.ai, and Claude Code, underscore ongoing capacity constraints despite 99%+ reported uptime, as quick-resolving outages still disrupt access for hours. Market-implied odds favor 8-10 affected days because historical patterns show recurring bottlenecks during peak usage, while higher counts hinge on sustained demand spikes or delayed infrastructure fixes, and lower ones require successful scaling improvements ahead of typical seasonal traffic. Traders weigh these variables against Anthropic's efforts to stabilize services.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in August 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Markt eröffnet: Jul 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Volumen
$612Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of days in August 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Persistent reliability challenges at Anthropic continue to shape trader sentiment on Claude downtime in August, with frequent elevated-error incidents across models like Opus and Sonnet reflecting infrastructure strain from rapid user growth and large language model inference demands. Recent July 2026 events, including multiple degraded-performance periods on the API, claude.ai, and Claude Code, underscore ongoing capacity constraints despite 99%+ reported uptime, as quick-resolving outages still disrupt access for hours. Market-implied odds favor 8-10 affected days because historical patterns show recurring bottlenecks during peak usage, while higher counts hinge on sustained demand spikes or delayed infrastructure fixes, and lower ones require successful scaling improvements ahead of typical seasonal traffic. Traders weigh these variables against Anthropic's efforts to stabilize services.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in August 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Volumen
$612Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent reliability challenges at Anthropic continue to shape trader sentiment on Claude downtime in August, with frequent elevated-error incidents across models like Opus and Sonnet reflecting infrastructure strain from rapid user growth and large language model inference demands. Recent July 2026 events, including multiple degraded-performance periods on the API, claude.ai, and Claude Code, underscore ongoing capacity constraints despite 99%+ reported uptime, as quick-resolving outages still disrupt access for hours. Market-implied odds favor 8-10 affected days because historical patterns show recurring bottlenecks during peak usage, while higher counts hinge on sustained demand spikes or delayed infrastructure fixes, and lower ones require successful scaling improvements ahead of typical seasonal traffic. Traders weigh these variables against Anthropic's efforts to stabilize services.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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