The competitive Lombardo-Ford gubernatorial matchup, rated a toss-up or lean Republican by forecasters with polling averages showing a narrow GOP edge, anchors trader expectations for total ballots cast near recent midterm levels. Nevada's electorate has grown since the 1.02 million votes recorded in 2022, yet the absence of presidential-year mobilization and reliance on mail and early voting temper upside potential. Economic pressures around housing and costs could lift participation among key blocs in Clark and Washoe counties, while procedural factors like same-day registration and signature verification introduce variability. This balance keeps probabilities clustered across the 975,000-to-1.275 million range rather than favoring extremes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert1,05 Mio.–1,125 Mio. 29%
1,2 Mio.–1,275 Mio. 20%
<900K 20%
900.000-975.000 14%
<900K
20%
900.000-975.000
14%
975T-1,05M
15%
1,05 Mio.–1,125 Mio.
29%
1,125 Mio.–1,2 Mio.
11%
1,2 Mio.–1,275 Mio.
20%
1,275 Mio.–1,35 Mio.
1%
1,35 Mio+
5%
1,05 Mio.–1,125 Mio. 29%
1,2 Mio.–1,275 Mio. 20%
<900K 20%
900.000-975.000 14%
<900K
20%
900.000-975.000
14%
975T-1,05M
15%
1,05 Mio.–1,125 Mio.
29%
1,125 Mio.–1,2 Mio.
11%
1,2 Mio.–1,275 Mio.
20%
1,275 Mio.–1,35 Mio.
1%
1,35 Mio+
5%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 18, 2026, 10:12 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The competitive Lombardo-Ford gubernatorial matchup, rated a toss-up or lean Republican by forecasters with polling averages showing a narrow GOP edge, anchors trader expectations for total ballots cast near recent midterm levels. Nevada's electorate has grown since the 1.02 million votes recorded in 2022, yet the absence of presidential-year mobilization and reliance on mail and early voting temper upside potential. Economic pressures around housing and costs could lift participation among key blocs in Clark and Washoe counties, while procedural factors like same-day registration and signature verification introduce variability. This balance keeps probabilities clustered across the 975,000-to-1.275 million range rather than favoring extremes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertVerwandte
Werden die insgesamt abgegebenen Stimmen bei der Gouverneurswahl von Kalifornien 2026 zwischen 12.500.000 und 13.000.000 liegen?
Werden die insgesamt abgegebenen Stimmen bei der Gouverneurswahl in Arizona im Jahr 2026 zwischen 2.450.000 und 2.600.000 liegen?
Werden die insgesamt abgegebenen Stimmen bei der Gouverneurswahl in Connecticut 2026 zwischen 1.300.000 und 1.400.000 liegen?
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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