Current forecast models from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a minimum temperature near 24°C for Tokyo on September 1, driven by stable late-summer atmospheric conditions with light southerly winds and minimal frontal activity. Ensemble runs show overnight lows holding in the 23–25°C range amid daytime highs near 31°C, consistent with climatological baselines for early September transition. Recent model updates have narrowed uncertainty around this central tendency, supporting the market's strong implied probability for 24°C as the leading outcome while assigning lower odds to cooler thresholds that would require unexpected advection of maritime air.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Tokio am 1. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Tokio am 1. September?
24°C 47%
25°C 37%
26°C 8%
23°C 7%
NEU
NEU
1. Sep. 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
5%
22°C
6%
23°C
7%
24°C
47%
25°C
37%
26°C
8%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 47%
25°C 37%
26°C 8%
23°C 7%
NEU
NEU
1. Sep. 2026
19°C or below
$10 Vol.
1%
20°C
$51 Vol.
2%
21°C
$155 Vol.
5%
22°C
$41 Vol.
6%
23°C
$105 Vol.
7%
24°C
$15 Vol.
47%
25°C
$120 Vol.
37%
26°C
$0 Vol.
8%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a minimum temperature near 24°C for Tokyo on September 1, driven by stable late-summer atmospheric conditions with light southerly winds and minimal frontal activity. Ensemble runs show overnight lows holding in the 23–25°C range amid daytime highs near 31°C, consistent with climatological baselines for early September transition. Recent model updates have narrowed uncertainty around this central tendency, supporting the market's strong implied probability for 24°C as the leading outcome while assigning lower odds to cooler thresholds that would require unexpected advection of maritime air.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$497Enddatum
1. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a minimum temperature near 24°C for Tokyo on September 1, driven by stable late-summer atmospheric conditions with light southerly winds and minimal frontal activity. Ensemble runs show overnight lows holding in the 23–25°C range amid daytime highs near 31°C, consistent with climatological baselines for early September transition. Recent model updates have narrowed uncertainty around this central tendency, supporting the market's strong implied probability for 24°C as the leading outcome while assigning lower odds to cooler thresholds that would require unexpected advection of maritime air.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$497Enddatum
1. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a minimum temperature near 24°C for Tokyo on September 1, driven by stable late-summer atmospheric conditions with light southerly winds and minimal frontal activity. Ensemble runs show overnight lows holding in the 23–25°C range amid daytime highs near 31°C, consistent with climatological baselines for early September transition. Recent model updates have narrowed uncertainty around this central tendency, supporting the market's strong implied probability for 24°C as the leading outcome while assigning lower odds to cooler thresholds that would require unexpected advection of maritime air.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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