Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicates Shanghai's September 14 overnight minimum will likely settle near 22–24°C amid stable high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light northeast winds promoting gradual radiative cooling after daytime highs of 29–31°C. Low humidity levels around 60–75% and absent frontal systems or moisture reduce variability, while climatological September baselines near 20°C provide context for the current warmer pattern. Traders weigh subtle differences between 23°C and 24°C outcomes against potential model spread in boundary-layer mixing or localized urban heat effects, with fresh observational data from the next model cycles poised to refine the exact threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 14. September?
23°C 52%
24°C 44%
22°C 6%
21°C 4%
19°C oder darunter
<1%
20°C
3%
21°C
4%
22°C
6%
23°C
52%
24°C
44%
25°C
3%
26°C
3%
27°C
3%
28°C
<1%
29°C oder höher
<1%
23°C 52%
24°C 44%
22°C 6%
21°C 4%
19°C oder darunter
<1%
20°C
3%
21°C
4%
22°C
6%
23°C
52%
24°C
44%
25°C
3%
26°C
3%
27°C
3%
28°C
<1%
29°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicates Shanghai's September 14 overnight minimum will likely settle near 22–24°C amid stable high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light northeast winds promoting gradual radiative cooling after daytime highs of 29–31°C. Low humidity levels around 60–75% and absent frontal systems or moisture reduce variability, while climatological September baselines near 20°C provide context for the current warmer pattern. Traders weigh subtle differences between 23°C and 24°C outcomes against potential model spread in boundary-layer mixing or localized urban heat effects, with fresh observational data from the next model cycles poised to refine the exact threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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