Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and regional forecasts supports a 24°C minimum for Shanghai on September 13, driven by northeasterly flow under high pressure, partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. Observed trends through early afternoon show temperatures peaking near 30–31°C before declining gradually overnight, aligning with historical September baselines for the region. Trader positioning reflects this stability, as deviations would require rapid shifts in steering patterns or increased cloud cover. A stronger onshore breeze or unexpected clear-sky enhancement could push the low below 23°C, while persistent marine influence might hold it at or above the consensus value. Updated guidance from official monitoring agencies will refine resolution criteria near the end of the calendar day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 13. September?
24°C 98%
23°C 2%
22°C <1%
21°C <1%
$14,182 Vol.
$14,182 Vol.
19°C oder darunter
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
98%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C oder höher
<1%
24°C 98%
23°C 2%
22°C <1%
21°C <1%
$14,182 Vol.
$14,182 Vol.
19°C oder darunter
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
98%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and regional forecasts supports a 24°C minimum for Shanghai on September 13, driven by northeasterly flow under high pressure, partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. Observed trends through early afternoon show temperatures peaking near 30–31°C before declining gradually overnight, aligning with historical September baselines for the region. Trader positioning reflects this stability, as deviations would require rapid shifts in steering patterns or increased cloud cover. A stronger onshore breeze or unexpected clear-sky enhancement could push the low below 23°C, while persistent marine influence might hold it at or above the consensus value. Updated guidance from official monitoring agencies will refine resolution criteria near the end of the calendar day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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