Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration show persistent cloud cover, light rain, and moderate onshore flow moderating radiative cooling over Incheon/Seoul on September 1, supporting an expected overnight minimum of 22–23 °C. This aligns with the market’s heaviest trading at those two levels. Early-September climatology places the long-term average low near 18 °C, but the current pattern—following a late-August frontal passage—has kept surface dew points elevated and suppressed clear-sky cooling. Updated model runs through the final 48-hour window and any last-minute adjustments to wind or precipitation timing remain the key variables that could shift resolution between the leading outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Seoul (Incheon) am 1. September?
23°C 47%
22°C 33%
21°C 11%
24°C 9%
18°C oder weniger
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
11%
22°C
33%
23°C
47%
24°C
9%
25°C
6%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C oder höher
1%
23°C 47%
22°C 33%
21°C 11%
24°C 9%
18°C oder weniger
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
11%
22°C
33%
23°C
47%
24°C
9%
25°C
6%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration show persistent cloud cover, light rain, and moderate onshore flow moderating radiative cooling over Incheon/Seoul on September 1, supporting an expected overnight minimum of 22–23 °C. This aligns with the market’s heaviest trading at those two levels. Early-September climatology places the long-term average low near 18 °C, but the current pattern—following a late-August frontal passage—has kept surface dew points elevated and suppressed clear-sky cooling. Updated model runs through the final 48-hour window and any last-minute adjustments to wind or precipitation timing remain the key variables that could shift resolution between the leading outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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