Recent Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble model runs point to a 24–25°C overnight minimum for Seoul-Incheon on August 16 under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and modest precipitation chances near 20%. Persistent high humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling in this late-summer pattern typically cap temperature drops, aligning with historical August lows of 23–24°C. Trader consensus at 24°C (54% implied) reflects the narrow spread between official 25°C projections and slightly stronger cooling scenarios if cloud cover thins overnight. Upcoming KMA updates and refined model outputs over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift probabilities within the 23–25°C range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Seoul (Incheon) am 16. August?
24°C 54%
23°C 16%
25°C 15%
26°C 7%
19°C oder darunter
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
6%
22°C
5%
23°C
16%
24°C
54%
25°C
15%
26°C
7%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C oder höher
<1%
24°C 54%
23°C 16%
25°C 15%
26°C 7%
19°C oder darunter
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
6%
22°C
5%
23°C
16%
24°C
54%
25°C
15%
26°C
7%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C oder höher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble model runs point to a 24–25°C overnight minimum for Seoul-Incheon on August 16 under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and modest precipitation chances near 20%. Persistent high humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling in this late-summer pattern typically cap temperature drops, aligning with historical August lows of 23–24°C. Trader consensus at 24°C (54% implied) reflects the narrow spread between official 25°C projections and slightly stronger cooling scenarios if cloud cover thins overnight. Upcoming KMA updates and refined model outputs over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift probabilities within the 23–25°C range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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