Mexico City's high-elevation setting at roughly 2,240 meters drives typically cool August overnight lows near the 12°C historical average, with trader consensus clustering tightly around 10–12°C due to model spreads in radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and showers. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and multiple forecasts emphasize a 12–14°C minimum amid partly cloudy conditions and scattered thunderstorms, while localized stations and some runs indicate potential for brief dips near 10–11°C if clearer skies allow greater heat loss before dawn. Rain timing and urban heat effects create the narrow probability band, with extremes below 9°C or above 13°C remaining remote given current atmospheric patterns.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 30. August?
10°C 42%
11°C 42%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$746 Vol.
$746 Vol.
6°C oder darunter
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
42%
11°C
42%
12°C
45%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C oder höher
<1%
10°C 42%
11°C 42%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$746 Vol.
$746 Vol.
6°C oder darunter
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
42%
11°C
42%
12°C
45%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Mexico City's high-elevation setting at roughly 2,240 meters drives typically cool August overnight lows near the 12°C historical average, with trader consensus clustering tightly around 10–12°C due to model spreads in radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and showers. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and multiple forecasts emphasize a 12–14°C minimum amid partly cloudy conditions and scattered thunderstorms, while localized stations and some runs indicate potential for brief dips near 10–11°C if clearer skies allow greater heat loss before dawn. Rain timing and urban heat effects create the narrow probability band, with extremes below 9°C or above 13°C remaining remote given current atmospheric patterns.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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