**Mild southwesterly flow and elevated overnight cloud cover are keeping London's minimum temperature on track for 16–17 °C on 30 August 2026.** Official Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate a nighttime low near 15 °C under mostly cloudy skies and moderate winds (10–15 mph), which limit radiational cooling compared with clear, calm conditions typical of the 13 °C climatological average low. Recent model runs have trended slightly warmer than earlier guidance, reducing the chance of a dip to 15 °C or below while supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 17 °C. With resolution dependent on the official daily minimum from London-area stations, the current atmospheric pattern and lack of any incoming cooler air mass explain the strong trader consensus around these two outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in London am 30. August?
17°C 90%
16°C 40%
15°C 2.3%
14°C 1.5%
$13,813 Vol.
$13,813 Vol.
11°C oder niedriger
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
24%
17°C
73%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C oder höher
<1%
17°C 90%
16°C 40%
15°C 2.3%
14°C 1.5%
$13,813 Vol.
$13,813 Vol.
11°C oder niedriger
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
24%
17°C
73%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Mild southwesterly flow and elevated overnight cloud cover are keeping London's minimum temperature on track for 16–17 °C on 30 August 2026.** Official Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate a nighttime low near 15 °C under mostly cloudy skies and moderate winds (10–15 mph), which limit radiational cooling compared with clear, calm conditions typical of the 13 °C climatological average low. Recent model runs have trended slightly warmer than earlier guidance, reducing the chance of a dip to 15 °C or below while supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 17 °C. With resolution dependent on the official daily minimum from London-area stations, the current atmospheric pattern and lack of any incoming cooler air mass explain the strong trader consensus around these two outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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