Current forecast models from sources like WeatherBug and local Chinese meteorological centers project a minimum temperature for Guangzhou on September 10 around 23–25°C under partly cloudy conditions with northeasterly winds, consistent with the historical average low of 24.6°C for the date. Trader sentiment splits nearly evenly between the 29°C-or-higher and 19°C-or-below buckets because of remaining uncertainty in short-range guidance: stronger northerly advection or clearer skies could enhance radiative cooling and drop readings toward the lower tail, while persistent monsoon moisture or weaker winds would favor warmer overnight lows. Model consensus remains moderate, with limited spread in recent runs but potential for revisions ahead of the event. Historical extremes on this date range from 19.4°C to well above 26°C, underscoring the role of transient frontal influences in this subtropical regime.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Guangzhou am 10. September?
19°C oder darunter 80%
29°C oder höher 80%
25°C 24%
24°C 23%
19°C oder darunter
80%
20°C
19%
21°C
15%
22°C
21%
23°C
21%
24°C
23%
25°C
24%
26°C
21%
27°C
20%
28°C
17%
29°C oder höher
80%
19°C oder darunter 80%
29°C oder höher 80%
25°C 24%
24°C 23%
19°C oder darunter
80%
20°C
19%
21°C
15%
22°C
21%
23°C
21%
24°C
23%
25°C
24%
26°C
21%
27°C
20%
28°C
17%
29°C oder höher
80%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like WeatherBug and local Chinese meteorological centers project a minimum temperature for Guangzhou on September 10 around 23–25°C under partly cloudy conditions with northeasterly winds, consistent with the historical average low of 24.6°C for the date. Trader sentiment splits nearly evenly between the 29°C-or-higher and 19°C-or-below buckets because of remaining uncertainty in short-range guidance: stronger northerly advection or clearer skies could enhance radiative cooling and drop readings toward the lower tail, while persistent monsoon moisture or weaker winds would favor warmer overnight lows. Model consensus remains moderate, with limited spread in recent runs but potential for revisions ahead of the event. Historical extremes on this date range from 19.4°C to well above 26°C, underscoring the role of transient frontal influences in this subtropical regime.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen