The Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast of 27–33°C for September 8, under weak winds and generally fine but hot daytime conditions with only isolated afternoon showers, forms the core driver behind the 96% market-implied odds on a 32°C high. Recent observations from the prior day peaked near 30–32°C amid similar patterns, while ensemble models show limited upward potential due to modest humidity and cloud cover. Traders view this as consistent with September climatology, where peaks rarely exceed the forecast range without stronger subsidence or clearer skies. Resolution hinges on HKO station readings; heavier or more widespread showers could cap the maximum below 32°C, while unexpected clearing might push it to 33°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 8. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 8. September?
32°C 97%
33°C 5%
35°C <1%
31°C <1%
$95,552 Vol.
$95,552 Vol.
8. Sep. 2026
27°C oder darunter
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
97%
33°C
5%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C oder höher
<1%
32°C 97%
33°C 5%
35°C <1%
31°C <1%
$95,552 Vol.
$95,552 Vol.
8. Sep. 2026
27°C oder darunter
$444 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,068 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$3,310 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$36,339 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$13,516 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$9,486 Vol.
97%
33°C
$14,927 Vol.
5%
34°C
$11,716 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$3,038 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$431 Vol.
<1%
37°C oder höher
$277 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast of 27–33°C for September 8, under weak winds and generally fine but hot daytime conditions with only isolated afternoon showers, forms the core driver behind the 96% market-implied odds on a 32°C high. Recent observations from the prior day peaked near 30–32°C amid similar patterns, while ensemble models show limited upward potential due to modest humidity and cloud cover. Traders view this as consistent with September climatology, where peaks rarely exceed the forecast range without stronger subsidence or clearer skies. Resolution hinges on HKO station readings; heavier or more widespread showers could cap the maximum below 32°C, while unexpected clearing might push it to 33°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$95,552Enddatum
8. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast of 27–33°C for September 8, under weak winds and generally fine but hot daytime conditions with only isolated afternoon showers, forms the core driver behind the 96% market-implied odds on a 32°C high. Recent observations from the prior day peaked near 30–32°C amid similar patterns, while ensemble models show limited upward potential due to modest humidity and cloud cover. Traders view this as consistent with September climatology, where peaks rarely exceed the forecast range without stronger subsidence or clearer skies. Resolution hinges on HKO station readings; heavier or more widespread showers could cap the maximum below 32°C, while unexpected clearing might push it to 33°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$95,552Enddatum
8. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast of 27–33°C for September 8, under weak winds and generally fine but hot daytime conditions with only isolated afternoon showers, forms the core driver behind the 96% market-implied odds on a 32°C high. Recent observations from the prior day peaked near 30–32°C amid similar patterns, while ensemble models show limited upward potential due to modest humidity and cloud cover. Traders view this as consistent with September climatology, where peaks rarely exceed the forecast range without stronger subsidence or clearer skies. Resolution hinges on HKO station readings; heavier or more widespread showers could cap the maximum below 32°C, while unexpected clearing might push it to 33°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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