Cold air advection from northern high-pressure systems is expected to reach Chongqing on the night of September 9, initiating a sharp temperature drop and scattered showers that limit daytime heating and enhance nocturnal radiative cooling on September 10. Official Chongqing Meteorological Bureau guidance and ensemble models project daily lows of 16–22 °C amid increased cloud cover and light precipitation, well below the month’s climatological average near 22 °C. This rapid transition after prolonged “autumn tiger” heat explains the market’s near-even split between sub-19 °C (50 %) and 29 °C-plus (49 %) outcomes, with residual uncertainty centered on exact timing of the front, local urban heat-island effects, and model spread in minimum-temperature guidance. Updated National Meteorological Center runs and surface observations on September 9 will likely resolve the range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Chongqing am 10. September?
29°C oder höher 95%
19°C oder niedriger 48%
22°C 40%
28°C 39%
19°C oder niedriger
48%
20°C
21%
21°C
21%
22°C
40%
23°C
38%
24°C
20%
25°C
20%
26°C
38%
27°C
37%
28°C
39%
29°C oder höher
95%
29°C oder höher 95%
19°C oder niedriger 48%
22°C 40%
28°C 39%
19°C oder niedriger
48%
20°C
21%
21°C
21%
22°C
40%
23°C
38%
24°C
20%
25°C
20%
26°C
38%
27°C
37%
28°C
39%
29°C oder höher
95%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Cold air advection from northern high-pressure systems is expected to reach Chongqing on the night of September 9, initiating a sharp temperature drop and scattered showers that limit daytime heating and enhance nocturnal radiative cooling on September 10. Official Chongqing Meteorological Bureau guidance and ensemble models project daily lows of 16–22 °C amid increased cloud cover and light precipitation, well below the month’s climatological average near 22 °C. This rapid transition after prolonged “autumn tiger” heat explains the market’s near-even split between sub-19 °C (50 %) and 29 °C-plus (49 %) outcomes, with residual uncertainty centered on exact timing of the front, local urban heat-island effects, and model spread in minimum-temperature guidance. Updated National Meteorological Center runs and surface observations on September 9 will likely resolve the range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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