Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Chongqing around 22–25°C on September 1, supported by clearing skies after late-August rainfall and moderate northeasterly winds that limit strong radiative cooling. High daytime heat (33–36°C) and urban heat retention, combined with typical early-September humidity levels near 45–60%, keep minimum temperatures from dropping sharply despite the transition toward autumn. Trader consensus placing notable implied probability on 18°C or below likely reflects model uncertainty ranges, historical variability in the city's hilly terrain, and the market's resolution based on official station data. Updated NHC-equivalent regional guidance and next 48-hour model runs will provide the key data points for refining these odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Chongqing am 1. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Chongqing am 1. September?
18°C or below 80%
21°C 27%
22°C 27%
20°C 26%
NEU
NEU
1. Sep. 2026
18°C or below
80%
19°C
22%
20°C
26%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
26%
24°C
25%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
18°C or below 80%
21°C 27%
22°C 27%
20°C 26%
NEU
NEU
1. Sep. 2026
18°C or below
$64 Vol.
80%
19°C
$12 Vol.
22%
20°C
$0 Vol.
26%
21°C
$0 Vol.
27%
22°C
$0 Vol.
27%
23°C
$0 Vol.
26%
24°C
$0 Vol.
25%
25°C
$140 Vol.
1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
2%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Chongqing around 22–25°C on September 1, supported by clearing skies after late-August rainfall and moderate northeasterly winds that limit strong radiative cooling. High daytime heat (33–36°C) and urban heat retention, combined with typical early-September humidity levels near 45–60%, keep minimum temperatures from dropping sharply despite the transition toward autumn. Trader consensus placing notable implied probability on 18°C or below likely reflects model uncertainty ranges, historical variability in the city's hilly terrain, and the market's resolution based on official station data. Updated NHC-equivalent regional guidance and next 48-hour model runs will provide the key data points for refining these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$216Enddatum
1. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Chongqing around 22–25°C on September 1, supported by clearing skies after late-August rainfall and moderate northeasterly winds that limit strong radiative cooling. High daytime heat (33–36°C) and urban heat retention, combined with typical early-September humidity levels near 45–60%, keep minimum temperatures from dropping sharply despite the transition toward autumn. Trader consensus placing notable implied probability on 18°C or below likely reflects model uncertainty ranges, historical variability in the city's hilly terrain, and the market's resolution based on official station data. Updated NHC-equivalent regional guidance and next 48-hour model runs will provide the key data points for refining these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$216Enddatum
1. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Chongqing around 22–25°C on September 1, supported by clearing skies after late-August rainfall and moderate northeasterly winds that limit strong radiative cooling. High daytime heat (33–36°C) and urban heat retention, combined with typical early-September humidity levels near 45–60%, keep minimum temperatures from dropping sharply despite the transition toward autumn. Trader consensus placing notable implied probability on 18°C or below likely reflects model uncertainty ranges, historical variability in the city's hilly terrain, and the market's resolution based on official station data. Updated NHC-equivalent regional guidance and next 48-hour model runs will provide the key data points for refining these odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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