Kansas voters face an open-seat contest for governor on November 3, 2026, after term-limited Democratic incumbent Laura Kelly. Republican nominee Ty Masterson, the state Senate president backed by President Trump, consolidated support in the August primary against a divided field. Democratic nominee Cindy Holscher, a state senator, prevailed over the candidate endorsed by Kelly. The state’s strong Republican tilt, shown by Trump’s double-digit 2024 margin, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 66.5 percent implied probability. A late-August Democratic-sponsored poll showed the race nearly tied, highlighting the importance of unaffiliated voters and the heavy Republican Governors Association ad investment. Primary results and structural fundamentals have kept Republican odds stable since August.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$22,431 Vol.
$22,431 Vol.

Republikaner
67%

Demokrat
35%
$22,431 Vol.
$22,431 Vol.

Republikaner
67%

Demokrat
35%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Abwickler
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Abwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Kansas voters face an open-seat contest for governor on November 3, 2026, after term-limited Democratic incumbent Laura Kelly. Republican nominee Ty Masterson, the state Senate president backed by President Trump, consolidated support in the August primary against a divided field. Democratic nominee Cindy Holscher, a state senator, prevailed over the candidate endorsed by Kelly. The state’s strong Republican tilt, shown by Trump’s double-digit 2024 margin, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 66.5 percent implied probability. A late-August Democratic-sponsored poll showed the race nearly tied, highlighting the importance of unaffiliated voters and the heavy Republican Governors Association ad investment. Primary results and structural fundamentals have kept Republican odds stable since August.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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