**Ben-Gvir’s firm opposition to reuniting Otzma Yehudit with Bezalel Smotrich’s Religious Zionist Party has anchored trader expectations against a joint list.** The two parties ran together on a technical bloc in 2022 before splitting into separate factions immediately afterward. In July and August 2026, Ben-Gvir repeatedly called any renewed merger “final and complete,” citing differences in voter bases that he said would cost Otzma seats. Netanyahu has publicly pressed both leaders to unite ahead of the October 27 election to limit right-wing vote fragmentation, particularly after polls showed Ofer Winter’s new People of Israel party drawing support from the same religious-nationalist electorate and pushing RZP below the threshold if the parties run separately. With candidate lists due in early September and no agreement reached despite mediation, the market reflects the low probability of a combined slate.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertIsrael-Wahl: Otzma Yehudit & RZP laufen auf derselben Liste?
Israel-Wahl: Otzma Yehudit & RZP laufen auf derselben Liste?
Ja
13% Chance
NEU
NEU
7. Sep. 2026
Ja
13% Chance
NEU
NEU
7. Sep. 2026
Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Otzma Yehudit and Religious Zionist Party contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).**Ben-Gvir’s firm opposition to reuniting Otzma Yehudit with Bezalel Smotrich’s Religious Zionist Party has anchored trader expectations against a joint list.** The two parties ran together on a technical bloc in 2022 before splitting into separate factions immediately afterward. In July and August 2026, Ben-Gvir repeatedly called any renewed merger “final and complete,” citing differences in voter bases that he said would cost Otzma seats. Netanyahu has publicly pressed both leaders to unite ahead of the October 27 election to limit right-wing vote fragmentation, particularly after polls showed Ofer Winter’s new People of Israel party drawing support from the same religious-nationalist electorate and pushing RZP below the threshold if the parties run separately. With candidate lists due in early September and no agreement reached despite mediation, the market reflects the low probability of a combined slate.
Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Otzma Yehudit and Religious Zionist Party contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Otzma Yehudit and Religious Zionist Party contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Volumen
$3,411Enddatum
7. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 6:07 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Otzma Yehudit and Religious Zionist Party contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).**Ben-Gvir’s firm opposition to reuniting Otzma Yehudit with Bezalel Smotrich’s Religious Zionist Party has anchored trader expectations against a joint list.** The two parties ran together on a technical bloc in 2022 before splitting into separate factions immediately afterward. In July and August 2026, Ben-Gvir repeatedly called any renewed merger “final and complete,” citing differences in voter bases that he said would cost Otzma seats. Netanyahu has publicly pressed both leaders to unite ahead of the October 27 election to limit right-wing vote fragmentation, particularly after polls showed Ofer Winter’s new People of Israel party drawing support from the same religious-nationalist electorate and pushing RZP below the threshold if the parties run separately. With candidate lists due in early September and no agreement reached despite mediation, the market reflects the low probability of a combined slate.
Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Otzma Yehudit and Religious Zionist Party contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Otzma Yehudit and Religious Zionist Party contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
Volumen
$3,411Enddatum
7. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 6:07 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...**Ben-Gvir’s firm opposition to reuniting Otzma Yehudit with Bezalel Smotrich’s Religious Zionist Party has anchored trader expectations against a joint list.** The two parties ran together on a technical bloc in 2022 before splitting into separate factions immediately afterward. In July and August 2026, Ben-Gvir repeatedly called any renewed merger “final and complete,” citing differences in voter bases that he said would cost Otzma seats. Netanyahu has publicly pressed both leaders to unite ahead of the October 27 election to limit right-wing vote fragmentation, particularly after polls showed Ofer Winter’s new People of Israel party drawing support from the same religious-nationalist electorate and pushing RZP below the threshold if the parties run separately. With candidate lists due in early September and no agreement reached despite mediation, the market reflects the low probability of a combined slate.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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