Recent US sanctions intensification, including the "Operation Economic Outcast" campaign and naval blockade of Iranian ports, has sharply pressured the rial amid the six-month conflict, driving free-market rates to record lows near or above 2.06 million IRR per USD by late August. Iranian officials reported 25-35% drops in trade, oil export loadings plummeting over 70-80%, and inflation exceeding 66%, with Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei and President Masoud Pezeshkian publicly urging measures against the hardship. A short-lived June memorandum permitting limited oil sales unraveled without extension, leaving scant near-term relief. Trader consensus places the highest probability on rates exceeding 2.2 million by end-September, reflecting expectations that sustained economic isolation will outweigh any diplomatic overtures before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertUSD x iranische Rial Ende September?
2,2M+ 31%
2,0-2,1 Mio. 17%
1,9-2,0 Mio. 13%
2,1–2,2 Mio. 11.5%
<1,7 Mio.
1%
1,7-1,8 Mio.
4%
1,8–1,9 Mio.
3%
1,9-2,0 Mio.
13%
2,0-2,1 Mio.
17%
2,1–2,2 Mio.
12%
2,2M+
42%
2,2M+ 31%
2,0-2,1 Mio. 17%
1,9-2,0 Mio. 13%
2,1–2,2 Mio. 11.5%
<1,7 Mio.
1%
1,7-1,8 Mio.
4%
1,8–1,9 Mio.
3%
1,9-2,0 Mio.
13%
2,0-2,1 Mio.
17%
2,1–2,2 Mio.
12%
2,2M+
42%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 26, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent US sanctions intensification, including the "Operation Economic Outcast" campaign and naval blockade of Iranian ports, has sharply pressured the rial amid the six-month conflict, driving free-market rates to record lows near or above 2.06 million IRR per USD by late August. Iranian officials reported 25-35% drops in trade, oil export loadings plummeting over 70-80%, and inflation exceeding 66%, with Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei and President Masoud Pezeshkian publicly urging measures against the hardship. A short-lived June memorandum permitting limited oil sales unraveled without extension, leaving scant near-term relief. Trader consensus places the highest probability on rates exceeding 2.2 million by end-September, reflecting expectations that sustained economic isolation will outweigh any diplomatic overtures before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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