Recent US Treasury authorizations permitting Iranian oil exports and related dollar transactions through August 21, 2026, represent the dominant near-term catalyst for the rial. These measures, tied to a June memorandum framework and nuclear talks, could boost export revenues and ease foreign-exchange pressure if sustained. Persistent high inflation, free-market dollar demand, and any delays or reversals in sanctions relief remain key variables. With the resolution window closing at the end of August, traders are monitoring compliance with license terms, progress toward a broader agreement, and any escalation signals that might prompt policy reversals.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert↑ 2,1 Mio.
40%
↑ 2,0 Mio.
70%
↓ 1,8 Mio.
37%
↓ 1,7 Mio.
29%
↓ 1,6 Mio.
17%
$0.00 Vol.
↑ 2,1 Mio.
40%
↑ 2,0 Mio.
70%
↓ 1,8 Mio.
37%
↓ 1,7 Mio.
29%
↓ 1,6 Mio.
17%
This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 29, 2026, 4:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent US Treasury authorizations permitting Iranian oil exports and related dollar transactions through August 21, 2026, represent the dominant near-term catalyst for the rial. These measures, tied to a June memorandum framework and nuclear talks, could boost export revenues and ease foreign-exchange pressure if sustained. Persistent high inflation, free-market dollar demand, and any delays or reversals in sanctions relief remain key variables. With the resolution window closing at the end of August, traders are monitoring compliance with license terms, progress toward a broader agreement, and any escalation signals that might prompt policy reversals.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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