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icon for Wird ein neues Land bis zum 31. Oktober dem Abraham-Abkommen beitreten?
Politik·Gaza

Wird ein neues Land bis zum 31. Oktober dem Abraham-Abkommen beitreten?

icon for Wird ein neues Land bis zum 31. Oktober dem Abraham-Abkommen beitreten?
Politik·Gaza

Wird ein neues Land bis zum 31. Oktober dem Abraham-Abkommen beitreten?

Sep. 1

Nov. 1

Dez. 31

Sep. 1

Nov. 1

Dez. 31

Ja

8% Chance
Polymarket
NEU

Ja

8% Chance
Polymarket
NEU
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement. For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country. Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.**No major diplomatic breakthroughs have occurred since Kazakhstan’s 2025 accession, leaving Saudi Arabia—the most frequently cited candidate—stalled over its longstanding demand for an irreversible pathway to Palestinian statehood, a condition Israeli officials have not accepted.** Recent U.S. efforts to tie Saudi civil nuclear cooperation to Abraham Accords membership, reiterated by President Trump in July 2026, have not shifted Riyadh’s position. Other prospects such as Syria, Indonesia, or Lebanon have engaged in limited talks or frameworks but show no signs of formal normalization before the October 31 deadline. With Israeli elections scheduled for October and persistent regional sensitivities following the Gaza conflict, traders see negligible probability of a new signatory within the narrow window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.

For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.

Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$809
Enddatum
1. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 26, 2026, 5:42 PM ET

Abwickler

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement. For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country. Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement. For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country. Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.**No major diplomatic breakthroughs have occurred since Kazakhstan’s 2025 accession, leaving Saudi Arabia—the most frequently cited candidate—stalled over its longstanding demand for an irreversible pathway to Palestinian statehood, a condition Israeli officials have not accepted.** Recent U.S. efforts to tie Saudi civil nuclear cooperation to Abraham Accords membership, reiterated by President Trump in July 2026, have not shifted Riyadh’s position. Other prospects such as Syria, Indonesia, or Lebanon have engaged in limited talks or frameworks but show no signs of formal normalization before the October 31 deadline. With Israeli elections scheduled for October and persistent regional sensitivities following the Gaza conflict, traders see negligible probability of a new signatory within the narrow window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.

For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.

Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$809
Enddatum
1. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 26, 2026, 5:42 PM ET

Abwickler

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement. For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country. Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.

Verwandte

icon for Wird bis zum 31. August ein neues Land den Abraham-Abkommen beitreten?

Wird bis zum 31. August ein neues Land den Abraham-Abkommen beitreten?

<1%
Ja
icon for Wird ein neues Land den Abraham-Abkommen vor 2027 beitreten?

Wird ein neues Land den Abraham-Abkommen vor 2027 beitreten?

16%
Ja
icon for Wird Somaliland den Abraham-Abkommen vor 2027 beitreten?

Wird Somaliland den Abraham-Abkommen vor 2027 beitreten?

15%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wird ein neues Land bis zum 31. Oktober dem Abraham-Abkommen beitreten?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 2 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Wird bis zum 31. Oktober ein neues Land den Abraham-Abkommen beitreten?" mit 8%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 8¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 8% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

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Dies ist ein offener Markt. Der aktuelle Spitzenreiter für „Wird ein neues Land bis zum 31. Oktober dem Abraham-Abkommen beitreten?" ist „Wird bis zum 31. Oktober ein neues Land den Abraham-Abkommen beitreten?" mit nur 8%. Da kein Ergebnis eine starke Mehrheit hat, sehen Händler dies als hochgradig unsicher an, was einzigartige Handelsmöglichkeiten bieten kann. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert – speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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