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icon for Wird Israel das Westjordanland vor 2027 annektieren?

Wird Israel das Westjordanland vor 2027 annektieren?

icon for Wird Israel das Westjordanland vor 2027 annektieren?

Wird Israel das Westjordanland vor 2027 annektieren?

Dez. 31

Dez. 31

Ja

12% Chance
Polymarket

$88,473 Vol.

Ja

12% Chance
Polymarket

$88,473 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israeli officials have advanced de facto control over West Bank Area C through February 2026 cabinet decisions on land registration, shifting civil powers from military to Israeli ministries, settlement expansions, and the August 2026 transfer of policing authority to civilian forces. These steps integrate administrative functions without a formal declaration of sovereignty. Prime Minister Netanyahu has repeatedly deferred explicit annexation amid U.S. opposition and regional priorities, while coalition partners advocate gradual integration rather than immediate legal extension. With only months remaining before 2027 and no scheduled vote or announcement for full sovereignty, traders assign an 88.5% probability to no formal annexation occurring in the resolution window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.

Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$88,473
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israeli officials have advanced de facto control over West Bank Area C through February 2026 cabinet decisions on land registration, shifting civil powers from military to Israeli ministries, settlement expansions, and the August 2026 transfer of policing authority to civilian forces. These steps integrate administrative functions without a formal declaration of sovereignty. Prime Minister Netanyahu has repeatedly deferred explicit annexation amid U.S. opposition and regional priorities, while coalition partners advocate gradual integration rather than immediate legal extension. With only months remaining before 2027 and no scheduled vote or announcement for full sovereignty, traders assign an 88.5% probability to no formal annexation occurring in the resolution window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.

Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$88,473
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wird Israel das Westjordanland vor 2027 annektieren?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 2 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Wird Israel vor 2027 Gebiete im Westjordanland annektieren?" mit 12%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 12¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 12% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

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