Recent labor market data, including softer August nonfarm payrolls and rising initial jobless claims, have driven the tight clustering of probabilities around modest September job gains, with the 50k-100k range holding a narrow 24.5% edge. Traders price in continued cooling from prior months amid the Federal Reserve’s post-rate-cut policy path, moderating wage growth, and mixed signals from ADP private payrolls and JOLTS openings. Key swing factors include potential revisions to prior estimates and sector hiring trends in services versus manufacturing. The upcoming September jobs report, scheduled for early October, remains the primary catalyst that could resolve the current deadlock between sub-50k and 100k-plus scenarios.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWie viele Arbeitsplätze wurden im September hinzugefügt?
Wie viele Arbeitsplätze wurden im September hinzugefügt?
50.000 bis 100.000 25%
0 bis 50.000 22%
100.000 bis 150.000 21%
-50k bis 0 11%
NEU
NEU
2. Okt. 2026
<-50k
9%
-50k bis 0
11%
0 bis 50.000
22%
50.000 bis 100.000
25%
100.000 bis 150.000
21%
150.000 bis 200.000
5%
200.000+
8%
50.000 bis 100.000 25%
0 bis 50.000 22%
100.000 bis 150.000 21%
-50k bis 0 11%
NEU
NEU
2. Okt. 2026
<-50k
$248 Vol.
9%
-50k bis 0
$337 Vol.
11%
0 bis 50.000
$199 Vol.
22%
50.000 bis 100.000
$159 Vol.
25%
100.000 bis 150.000
$261 Vol.
21%
150.000 bis 200.000
$260 Vol.
5%
200.000+
$459 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for September 2026, scheduled to be released on October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmRecent labor market data, including softer August nonfarm payrolls and rising initial jobless claims, have driven the tight clustering of probabilities around modest September job gains, with the 50k-100k range holding a narrow 24.5% edge. Traders price in continued cooling from prior months amid the Federal Reserve’s post-rate-cut policy path, moderating wage growth, and mixed signals from ADP private payrolls and JOLTS openings. Key swing factors include potential revisions to prior estimates and sector hiring trends in services versus manufacturing. The upcoming September jobs report, scheduled for early October, remains the primary catalyst that could resolve the current deadlock between sub-50k and 100k-plus scenarios.
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for September 2026, scheduled to be released on October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Markt eröffnet: Sep 4, 2026, 12:37 PM ET
Volumen
$1,923Enddatum
3. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 4, 2026, 12:37 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for September 2026, scheduled to be released on October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmRecent labor market data, including softer August nonfarm payrolls and rising initial jobless claims, have driven the tight clustering of probabilities around modest September job gains, with the 50k-100k range holding a narrow 24.5% edge. Traders price in continued cooling from prior months amid the Federal Reserve’s post-rate-cut policy path, moderating wage growth, and mixed signals from ADP private payrolls and JOLTS openings. Key swing factors include potential revisions to prior estimates and sector hiring trends in services versus manufacturing. The upcoming September jobs report, scheduled for early October, remains the primary catalyst that could resolve the current deadlock between sub-50k and 100k-plus scenarios.
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for September 2026, scheduled to be released on October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Volumen
$1,923Enddatum
3. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 4, 2026, 12:37 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent labor market data, including softer August nonfarm payrolls and rising initial jobless claims, have driven the tight clustering of probabilities around modest September job gains, with the 50k-100k range holding a narrow 24.5% edge. Traders price in continued cooling from prior months amid the Federal Reserve’s post-rate-cut policy path, moderating wage growth, and mixed signals from ADP private payrolls and JOLTS openings. Key swing factors include potential revisions to prior estimates and sector hiring trends in services versus manufacturing. The upcoming September jobs report, scheduled for early October, remains the primary catalyst that could resolve the current deadlock between sub-50k and 100k-plus scenarios.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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