US manufacturing activity expanded for an eighth straight month in August 2026, with the ISM PMI easing to 54.6 from July’s 55.6—below the 55.2 consensus—as new orders slowed to 53.7 while production held near 58.3 and employment remained in expansion territory at 51.2. Elevated input prices at 71.1, supply-chain delays linked to tariffs and Middle East tensions, and AI-related demand continue to shape the outlook, with customer inventories still low. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to September readings clustered in the mid-50s, reflecting the sector’s resilience above the 50 expansion threshold alongside recent momentum loss and uncertainty over policy and geopolitical factors ahead of the October 1 release.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert55,0 bis 55,9 28%
56,0 bis 56,9 27%
53,0 bis 53,9 26%
54,0 bis 54,9 17%
NEU
NEU
1. Okt. 2026
<50,0
3%
50,0 bis 50,9
1%
51,0 bis 51,9
5%
52,0 bis 52,9
15%
53,0 bis 53,9
26%
54,0 bis 54,9
17%
55,0 bis 55,9
28%
56,0 bis 56,9
27%
57,0 bis 57,9
12%
58,0+
5%
55,0 bis 55,9 28%
56,0 bis 56,9 27%
53,0 bis 53,9 26%
54,0 bis 54,9 17%
NEU
NEU
1. Okt. 2026
<50,0
$160 Vol.
3%
50,0 bis 50,9
$885 Vol.
1%
51,0 bis 51,9
$496 Vol.
5%
52,0 bis 52,9
$34 Vol.
15%
53,0 bis 53,9
$18 Vol.
26%
54,0 bis 54,9
$34 Vol.
17%
55,0 bis 55,9
$33 Vol.
28%
56,0 bis 56,9
$18 Vol.
27%
57,0 bis 57,9
$17 Vol.
12%
58,0+
$169 Vol.
5%
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.US manufacturing activity expanded for an eighth straight month in August 2026, with the ISM PMI easing to 54.6 from July’s 55.6—below the 55.2 consensus—as new orders slowed to 53.7 while production held near 58.3 and employment remained in expansion territory at 51.2. Elevated input prices at 71.1, supply-chain delays linked to tariffs and Middle East tensions, and AI-related demand continue to shape the outlook, with customer inventories still low. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to September readings clustered in the mid-50s, reflecting the sector’s resilience above the 50 expansion threshold alongside recent momentum loss and uncertainty over policy and geopolitical factors ahead of the October 1 release.
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 1, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Volumen
$1,863Enddatum
1. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 1, 2026, 6:22 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.US manufacturing activity expanded for an eighth straight month in August 2026, with the ISM PMI easing to 54.6 from July’s 55.6—below the 55.2 consensus—as new orders slowed to 53.7 while production held near 58.3 and employment remained in expansion territory at 51.2. Elevated input prices at 71.1, supply-chain delays linked to tariffs and Middle East tensions, and AI-related demand continue to shape the outlook, with customer inventories still low. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to September readings clustered in the mid-50s, reflecting the sector’s resilience above the 50 expansion threshold alongside recent momentum loss and uncertainty over policy and geopolitical factors ahead of the October 1 release.
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volumen
$1,863Enddatum
1. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 1, 2026, 6:22 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...US manufacturing activity expanded for an eighth straight month in August 2026, with the ISM PMI easing to 54.6 from July’s 55.6—below the 55.2 consensus—as new orders slowed to 53.7 while production held near 58.3 and employment remained in expansion territory at 51.2. Elevated input prices at 71.1, supply-chain delays linked to tariffs and Middle East tensions, and AI-related demand continue to shape the outlook, with customer inventories still low. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to September readings clustered in the mid-50s, reflecting the sector’s resilience above the 50 expansion threshold alongside recent momentum loss and uncertainty over policy and geopolitical factors ahead of the October 1 release.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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